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Hurricane Irma Public Advisory Number 35
2017-09-07 22:58:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Thu Sep 07 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 072058 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 35 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 500 PM EDT Thu Sep 07 2017 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRMA VERY NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND HEADING FOR THE BAHAMAS... ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.9N 71.1W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM E OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH...280 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Warning for the Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and Villa Clara. This includes the Cuban Keys along the north shore of these provinces. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Jupiter Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Bonita Beach * Florida Keys A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the northern border with Haiti * Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to Le Mole St. Nicholas * Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands * Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus and Villa Clara. * Central Bahamas * Northwestern Bahamas A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Jupiter Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Bonita Beach * Florida Keys * Lake Okeechobee * Florida Bay * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo,Holguin, Las Tunas and Matanzas. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from south of Cabo Engano westward to the southern border with Haiti * Haiti from south of Le Mole St. Nicholas to Port-Au-Prince * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, Las Tunas. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in Cuba and Florida should monitor the progress of Irma. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the distinct eye of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 71.1 West. Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days with some decrease in forward speed. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should continue to move between Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos Islands this evening. The core of the hurricane will then move between the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds remain near 175 mph (280 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 922 mb (27.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Jupiter Inlet to Bonita Beach, including Florida Keys...5 to 10 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and large breaking waves will raise water levels ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS by the following amounts within the hurricane warning area near and to the north of the center of Irma. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Turks and Caicos Islands...15 to 20 ft Southeastern and central Bahamas...15 to 20 ft Northwestern Bahamas...5 to 10 ft Northern coast of the Dominican Republic...3 to 5 ft Northern coast of Haiti and the Gulf of Gonave...1 to 3 ft Northern coast of Cuba in the warning area...5 to 10 ft WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to continue within the hurricane warning area in the Dominican Republic and Haiti tonight. Hurricane conditions already affecting the Turks and Caicos Islands. Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are beginning in the southeastern Bahamas and will spread into the central Bahamas by tonight or early Friday. Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area along the north coast of Cuba late Friday and Saturday. Hurricane conditions are expected in the northwestern Bahamas Friday night and Saturday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area in Florida by Sunday, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Saturday. RAINFALL: Irma is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Saturday evening: Northeast Puerto Rico and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands... additional 1 to 2 inches Much of the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Andros Island and Bimini, Bahamas...12 to 16 inches, isolated 25 inches Northern Dominican Republic and northern Haiti...4 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches Southern Dominican Republic and southern Haiti...2 to 5 inches Eastern and central Cuba...4 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches Southeast Florida and the upper Florida Keys...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Lower Florida Keys...2 to 5 inches In all areas this rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the northern coast of the Dominican Republic, and should start affecting portions of the southeast coast of the United States later today and tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35
2017-09-07 22:58:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 072058 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 150 KTS...175 MPH...280 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 16(27) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GREENSBORO NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 13(32) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 21(44) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) CHARLOTTE NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 7(24) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 8(27) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 8(31) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 15(48) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 20(57) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 14(26) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 10(38) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 11(43) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) 11(52) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 8(22) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 11(62) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 10(33) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 60(61) 11(72) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 11(41) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 7(24) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 16(35) ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) 19(65) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 15(32) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 65(66) 11(77) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 10(47) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 8(29) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 72(78) 5(83) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 49(49) 7(56) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 4(32) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 67(69) 7(76) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 8(45) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 4(21) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 72(80) 4(84) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 5(57) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 4(33) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 73(80) 3(83) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 5(56) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 3(31) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 62(75) 2(77) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 43(45) 2(47) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 1(25) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 59(86) 2(88) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 56(61) 1(62) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 1(41) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 56(81) 1(82) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 48(53) 1(54) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) X(31) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 42(44) 44(88) 1(89) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 51(63) 1(64) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 38(42) X(42) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) 38(90) 1(91) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 46(64) 1(65) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 37(44) 1(45) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) 38(90) 1(91) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 46(64) 1(65) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 37(44) 1(45) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 60(68) 23(91) X(91) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 30(64) X(64) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 27(44) 1(45) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 67(83) 10(93) X(93) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 49(50) 17(67) X(67) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 17(48) X(48) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) 58(89) 6(95) X(95) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 59(63) 9(72) X(72) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 40(41) 10(51) X(51) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 32(39) 53(92) 3(95) X(95) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 64(70) 7(77) X(77) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 45(46) 7(53) X(53) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 38(47) 47(94) 2(96) X(96) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 64(74) 5(79) X(79) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 47(49) 6(55) X(55) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 42(49) 39(88) 2(90) X(90) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 49(62) 1(63) X(63) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 39(43) 2(45) X(45) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) 40(71) 2(73) X(73) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 33(40) 2(42) X(42) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 1(23) X(23) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 61(74) 7(81) X(81) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 41(42) 10(52) X(52) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 10(34) X(34) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 58(67) 13(80) X(80) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 17(50) X(50) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 17(34) X(34) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 45(49) 18(67) X(67) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 19(37) X(37) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) X(24) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 34(70) X(70) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 29(38) X(38) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) X(25) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 44(58) 2(60) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) X(32) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) X(18) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 4(37) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 3(38) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 2(25) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 1(23) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 2(20) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 8(29) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) COLUMBUS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 48(69) 8(77) 1(78) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 7(41) X(41) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 6(23) X(23) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 8( 8) 38(46) 16(62) 11(73) 2(75) X(75) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) ANDROS 34 1 25(26) 57(83) 7(90) 2(92) X(92) X(92) ANDROS 50 X 2( 2) 37(39) 15(54) 3(57) X(57) X(57) ANDROS 64 X X( X) 12(12) 12(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) GREAT EXUMA 34 4 85(89) 7(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GREAT EXUMA 50 X 38(38) 22(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) GREAT EXUMA 64 X 8( 8) 14(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAN SALVADOR 34 14 51(65) 3(68) 2(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) SAN SALVADOR 50 1 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYAGUANA 50 89 5(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) MAYAGUANA 64 43 9(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) GRAND TURK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND TURK 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND TURK 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 18(34) 1(35) X(35) HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HAVANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 34(49) 11(60) 1(61) X(61) CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 7(21) X(21) X(21) CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CAMAGUEY 34 2 14(16) 53(69) 6(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) CAMAGUEY 50 X 2( 2) 24(26) 7(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 3 17(20) 3(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTEGO BAY 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) KINGSTON 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LES CAYES 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PUERTO PLATA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory Number 35
2017-09-07 22:58:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 072058 TCMAT1 HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS AND VILLA CLARA. THIS INCLUDES THE CUBAN KEYS ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF THESE PROVINCES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH * FLORIDA KEYS A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI * HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS AND VILLA CLARA. * CENTRAL BAHAMAS * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH * FLORIDA KEYS * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLORIDA BAY * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND MATANZAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI * HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...AS WELL AS CUBA AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 71.1W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 922 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 210SE 60SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 71.1W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 70.4W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.6N 73.1W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.2N 75.5W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.7N 77.6W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.4N 79.3W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.2N 80.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 31.5N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 36.0N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 71.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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SPE cancels Florida conference over Hurricane Irma threat
2017-09-07 22:51:50| Canadian Plastics Headlines
Hurricane Irma has forced the Society of Plastics Engineers Thermoforming Division to cancel the 26th annual SPE Thermoforming Conference, which had been scheduled for September 11-13 in Orlando, Fla. The post SPE cancels Florida conference over Hurricane Irma threat appeared first on Canadian Plastics.
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Summary for Hurricane Irma (AT1/AL112017)
2017-09-07 19:43:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRMA MOVING BETWEEN THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... As of 2:00 PM AST Thu Sep 7 the center of Irma was located near 20.7, -70.4 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 922 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 175 mph.
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at1al112017
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