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Hurricane Irma Public Advisory Number 38
2017-09-08 16:50:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 081450 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 1100 AM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017 ...EYE OF HURRICANE IRMA MONITORED BY HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES AND CUBAN RADARS... ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.0N 75.3W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM E OF CAIBARIEN CUBA ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...927 MB...27.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning has been extended from Jupiter Inlet northward to Sebastian Inlet and from Bonita Beach northward to Venice. A Storm Surge Watch has been issued from north of Sebastian Inlet to Ponce Inlet. The Hurricane Watch has been extended northward along the east coast of Florida to the Flagler/Volusia County Line, and along the west coast of Florida to Anclote River. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Venice * Florida Keys A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of Sebastian Inlet to Ponce Inlet A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Jupiter Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Bonita Beach * Florida Keys * Lake Okeechobee * Florida Bay * Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands * Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and Villa Clara * Central Bahamas * Northwestern Bahamas A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * North of Jupiter Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County Line * North of Bonita Beach to Anclote River * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, Las Tunas and Matanzas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in Cuba, Florida, and the southeastern United States should monitor the progress of Irma. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the distinct eye of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 22.0 North, longitude 75.3 West. Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so with a decrease in forward speed. A turn toward the northwest is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should move near the north coast of Cuba and the central Bahamas today and Saturday, and be near the Florida Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 hurricane as it approaches Florida. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The latest minimum central pressure reported by both Air Force and NOAA Hurricane Hunter planes was 927 mb (27.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... SW Florida from Captiva to Cape Sable...6 to 12 ft Jupiter Inlet to Cape Sable including the Florida Keys...5 to 10 ft Ponce Inlet to Jupiter Inlet...3 to 6 ft Venice to Captiva...3 to 6 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and large breaking waves will raise water levels ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS by the following amounts within the hurricane warning area near and to the north of the center of Irma. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Turks and Caicos Islands...15 to 20 ft Southeastern and central Bahamas...15 to 20 ft Northwestern Bahamas...5 to 10 ft Northern coast of Haiti and the Gulf of Gonave...1 to 3 ft Northern coast of Cuba in the warning area...5 to 10 ft WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring on the Turks and Caicos Islands, with tropical storm and hurricane conditions ongoing in the southeastern Bahamas. These conditions will move into the central Bahamas later today. Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area along the north coast of Cuba late today and Saturday. Hurricane conditions are expected in the northwestern Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and in portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys Saturday night or early Sunday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area in Florida by Sunday, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Saturday. RAINFALL: Irma is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Tuesday night: Dominican Republic and Haiti...additional 1 to 4 inches. Turks and Caicos...additional 2 to 4 inches. Southern Bahamas and northern Cuba...10 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches. Southern Cuba...4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches. Jamaica...1 to 2 inches. The upper Florida Keys into southeast Florida...10 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches. Lower Florida Keys...4 to 8 inches. Eastern Florida northward into coastal Georgia...8 to 12 inches, isolated 16 inches. Western Florida peninsula...4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches. Much of Georgia...South Carolina...and Western North Carolina...3 to 6 inches. In all areas this rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and, in some areas, mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the northern coast of the Dominican Republic, and should start affecting portions of the southeast coast of the United States later today and tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38
2017-09-08 16:50:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 081450 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 1(22) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 1(19) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 15(28) X(28) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 17(37) X(37) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 2(23) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 23(32) 1(33) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 20(46) 1(47) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 52(53) 15(68) X(68) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 11(30) 1(31) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) X(15) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 25(68) 1(69) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 16(26) 1(27) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 57(58) 12(70) X(70) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 11(34) X(34) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17) X(17) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 59(60) 14(74) 1(75) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 12(36) X(36) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) X(16) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 70(73) 11(84) X(84) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 8(46) 1(47) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) X(17) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 73(80) 4(84) X(84) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 4(47) X(47) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 4(27) X(27) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 76(84) 4(88) X(88) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 54(54) 4(58) X(58) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 1(26) X(26) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 74(90) 1(91) X(91) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 58(59) 2(61) X(61) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 1(35) X(35) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 65(85) 1(86) X(86) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 1(53) X(53) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 1(30) X(30) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 65(85) 1(86) X(86) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 52(53) X(53) 1(54) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 1(30) X(30) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 31(41) 47(88) X(88) 1(89) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 48(53) 1(54) X(54) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) X(30) X(30) W PALM BEACH 34 1 5( 6) 18(24) 43(67) 25(92) X(92) X(92) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 39(57) X(57) X(57) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) X(32) X(32) FT LAUDERDALE 34 2 7( 9) 36(45) 38(83) 12(95) X(95) X(95) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 36(42) 25(67) X(67) X(67) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 25(38) X(38) X(38) MIAMI FL 34 2 10(12) 46(58) 32(90) 7(97) X(97) X(97) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) 11(11) 46(57) 20(77) X(77) X(77) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 21(49) X(49) X(49) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 3 14(17) 54(71) 22(93) 5(98) X(98) X(98) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X 1( 1) 20(21) 49(70) 13(83) X(83) X(83) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 36(40) 17(57) X(57) X(57) MARATHON FL 34 2 24(26) 58(84) 14(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 50 X 2( 2) 42(44) 40(84) 6(90) X(90) X(90) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) 18(18) 47(65) 8(73) X(73) X(73) KEY WEST FL 34 1 11(12) 56(68) 22(90) 3(93) X(93) X(93) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) 25(25) 36(61) 5(66) X(66) X(66) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 32(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45) NAPLES FL 34 X 5( 5) 22(27) 48(75) 19(94) X(94) X(94) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 39(72) X(72) X(72) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 38(54) X(54) X(54) FT MYERS FL 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 44(60) 32(92) X(92) X(92) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 50(69) 1(70) X(70) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 43(49) 1(50) X(50) VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 28(35) 45(80) X(80) X(80) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 47(53) X(53) X(53) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) X(36) X(36) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 66(81) 1(82) X(82) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 49(50) 2(52) X(52) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 2(35) X(35) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 62(67) 5(72) X(72) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 6(42) X(42) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 5(26) X(26) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 14(47) X(47) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21) X(21) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 12(49) X(49) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 12(24) X(24) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 7(36) X(36) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17) X(17) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 4(35) X(35) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 7(27) X(27) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20(27) X(27) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) X(16) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 3 4( 7) 15(22) 25(47) 18(65) X(65) X(65) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 11(19) X(19) X(19) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 21 22(43) 8(51) 4(55) 4(59) X(59) X(59) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ANDROS 34 79 11(90) 1(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) ANDROS 50 9 20(29) 2(31) 1(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) ANDROS 64 1 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GREAT EXUMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GREAT EXUMA 50 47 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) GREAT EXUMA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAN SALVADOR 34 56 1(57) X(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HAVANA 34 1 7( 8) 26(34) 13(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) HAVANA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) HAVANA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) CIENFUEGOS 34 3 52(55) 20(75) 3(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) CIENFUEGOS 50 X 9( 9) 18(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) CIENFUEGOS 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAMAGUEY 34 61 25(86) X(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) CAMAGUEY 50 9 29(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) CAMAGUEY 64 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GRAND CAYMAN 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTEGO BAY 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGSTON 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory Number 38
2017-09-08 16:49:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 081449 TCMAT1 HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FROM JUPITER INLET NORTHWARD TO SEBASTIAN INLET AND FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO VENICE. A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO PONCE INLET. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO VENICE * FLORIDA KEYS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO PONCE INLET A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH * FLORIDA KEYS * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLORIDA BAY * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS... AND VILLA CLARA * CENTRAL BAHAMAS * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE * NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO ANCLOTE RIVER * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND MATANZAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... AND LAS TUNAS A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA... FLORIDA... AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 75.3W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 927 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 45SE 35SW 55NW. 50 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 270SE 120SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 75.3W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 74.7W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.4N 77.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.8N 79.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.7N 80.3W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 81.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.3N 82.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...250NE 210SE 160SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 34.0N 85.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 75.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Virgin Atlantic CEO: Reacting to Hurricane Irma
2017-09-08 15:25:27| BBC News | Business | UK Edition
Virgin Atlantic boss Craig Kreeger on how the airline has been joining efforts to help those hit by Hurricane Irma.
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Summary for Hurricane Irma (AT1/AL112017)
2017-09-08 13:38:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CORE OF HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST TO MOVE BETWEEN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY... As of 8:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 8 the center of Irma was located near 21.8, -74.7 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 927 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 150 mph.
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