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Summary for Tropical Storm KARINA (EP1/EP112014)

2014-08-24 22:51:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL STORM KARINA WEAKENING OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Aug 24 the center of KARINA was located near 17.8, -130.4 with movement E at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm KARINA Public Advisory Number 48

2014-08-24 22:51:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 242051 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARINA ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 200 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2014 ...TROPICAL STORM KARINA WEAKENING OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 130.4W ABOUT 1370 MI...2205 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.4 WEST. KARINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND KARINA SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Tropical Storm KARINA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 48

2014-08-24 22:51:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 242051 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 2100 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory Number 48

2014-08-24 22:50:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 242050 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 2100 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 130.4W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 130.4W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 130.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.7N 129.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.5N 127.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.2N 127.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.5N 126.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 130.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Tropical Storm KARINA Graphics

2014-08-24 17:15:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 24 Aug 2014 14:51:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 24 Aug 2014 15:06:32 GMT

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