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Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle Forecast Advisory Number 11
2019-09-06 10:49:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 060849 TCMAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019 0900 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 37.6W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 0SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 37.6W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 37.1W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.1N 39.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.2N 41.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.7N 44.8W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.9N 47.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 35.6N 48.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 40.4N 44.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 47.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 37.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GABRIELLE CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Graphics
2019-08-29 10:41:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 29 Aug 2019 08:41:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 29 Aug 2019 08:41:18 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Forecast Discussion Number 11
2019-08-29 10:40:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019 000 WTNT41 KNHC 290840 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062019 500 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019 Satellite imagery and scatterometer data indicate that Erin is merging with a frontal system and is now an extratropical low. The low is expected to accelerate northeastward toward Nova Scotia over the next 24 h, and some slight intensification is expected during that time. After 24 h, the system is expected to be absorbed by a larger extratropical low over eastern Canada. This is the last advisory on Erin from the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/0900Z 36.1N 71.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 29/1800Z 39.3N 69.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 30/0600Z 44.3N 64.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 30/1800Z...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Beven
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin (AT1/AL062019)
2019-08-29 10:39:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ERIN BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 5:00 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 the center of Erin was located near 36.1, -71.6 with movement NNE at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Public Advisory Number 11
2019-08-29 10:39:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019 000 WTNT31 KNHC 290839 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062019 500 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019 ...ERIN BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.1N 71.6W ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin was located near latitude 36.1 North, longitude 71.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the northeast and a faster forward motion are expected later today, with this motion continuing through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is expected to strengthen a little on Friday before it is absorbed by a larger extratropical low over eastern Canada Friday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Beven
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