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Post-Tropical Cyclone PAINE Forecast Information (.shp)
2016-09-21 04:42:08| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Wed, 21 Sep 2016 02:42:08 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone PAINE Best Track Information (.kmz)
2016-09-21 04:42:05| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Wed, 21 Sep 2016 02:42:05 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone PAINE Best Track Information (.shp)
2016-09-21 04:42:04| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Wed, 21 Sep 2016 02:42:04 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone JULIA Forecast Discussion Number 21
2016-09-19 04:40:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2016 000 WTNT41 KNHC 190240 TCDAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 1100 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2016 Strong shear and dry mid-level air have continued to take a toll on Julia today. The cyclone has become an exposed swirl of low clouds devoid of significant deep convection for more than 12 hours. Based on this, Julia is being designated a post-tropical remnant low, and this will be the final NHC advisory on this system. The initial wind speed is set to 25 kt, which is based on the earlier ASCAT data, but this could be generous. The cyclone may produce some disorganized thunderstorms during the overnight convective maximum period, but increasing southwesterly shear on Monday should limit any organization or persistence of the activity. The low should gradually spin down and dissipate in a couple of days. Julia is moving northwestward at about 6 kt. A turn toward the north is expected overnight ahead of a shortwave trough moving into the southeastern United States. After that time, the remnant low is forecast to meander over eastern North Carolina until dissipation occurs. Moisture from the remnants of Julia are expected to interact with a frontal boundary moving into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast United States. This is likely to produce local heavy rainfall from eastern North Carolina northward to the northeastern U.S. during the next couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0300Z 32.2N 78.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 19/1200Z 33.2N 78.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 20/0000Z 34.4N 77.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 20/1200Z 34.9N 77.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 21/0000Z 35.1N 77.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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Post-Tropical Cyclone JULIA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2016-09-19 04:40:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 19 2016 000 FONT11 KNHC 190239 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 0300 UTC MON SEP 19 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) CHERRY PT NC 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NEW RIVER NC 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SURF CITY NC 34 2 11(13) 4(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) WILMINGTON NC 34 3 10(13) 3(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BALD HEAD ISL 34 5 8(13) 2(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) FLORENCE SC 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 3 6( 9) 2(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MYRTLE BEACH 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GEORGETOWN SC 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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