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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 36
2016-09-06 10:52:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 060852 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 500 AM EDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...HERMINE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.6N 71.6W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor * New Haven to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 71.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected later today, and Hermine will likely become nearly stationary by tonight. A turn toward the northeast is forecast to occur on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The Montauk Point buoy south of eastern Long Island recently reported a 38-mph (61 km/h) sustained wind and a gust to 47 mph (76 km/h). The buoy south of Islip in Long Island recently reported a 36-mph (57 km/h) sustained wind and a gust to 45 mph (72 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the warning area today. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor...1 to 2 feet. RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce additional light rainfall amounts not exceeding 1 inch along the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coastline from New Jersey to eastern Long Island to southeastern Massachusetts. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will continue to affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England for another couple of days. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Forecast Advisory Number 36
2016-09-06 10:51:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 060850 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 0900 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR * NEW HAVEN TO SAGAMORE BEACH * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 71.6W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..340NE 180SE 260SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 71.6W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 71.3W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 39.5N 72.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.6N 72.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 39.8N 72.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 40.3N 72.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.6N 71.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Graphics
2016-09-06 07:47:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 06 Sep 2016 05:47:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 06 Sep 2016 03:04:37 GMT
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-09-06 07:45:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HERMINE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST... As of 2:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 the center of HERMINE was located near 39.6, -71.3 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 35A
2016-09-06 07:45:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM EDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 060545 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 200 AM EDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...HERMINE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.6N 71.3W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor * New Haven to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 71.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected later today, and Hermine will likely become nearly stationary by tonight. A turn toward the northeast is forecast to occur on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The Montauk Point buoy south of Long Island recently reported a 39 mph (63 km/h) sustained wind and a gust to 54 mph (86 km/h). The minimum central pressure recently observed from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread over portions of the warning area today. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor...1 to 2 feet RAINFALL: Hermine will produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across eastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and the offshore islands, through Wednesday. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will continue to affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England for another couple of days. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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