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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Forecast Advisory Number 35
2016-09-06 04:51:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 060251 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 0300 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR * NEW HAVEN TO SAGAMORE BEACH * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 70.7W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 0SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..340NE 160SE 240SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 70.7W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 70.3W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.7N 71.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.7N 71.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 39.8N 72.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 40.4N 71.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.6N 70.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/BROWN
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Graphics
2016-09-06 01:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 23:58:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 21:05:34 GMT
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-09-06 01:56:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HERMINE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING TONIGHT... As of 8:00 PM AST Mon Sep 5 the center of HERMINE was located near 39.3, -70.3 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 34A
2016-09-06 01:56:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM AST MON SEP 05 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 052356 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 800 PM AST MON SEP 05 2016 ...HERMINE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.3N 70.3W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SE OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor * New Haven to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 39.3 North, longitude 70.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue overnight, followed by a slow and erratic motion on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will meander slowly offshore of the New England coast into Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. A weakening trend is forecast to begin tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. Sustained winds of 32 mph (52 km/h) with gusts of 48 mph (78 km/h) have been observed in the last couple of hours at Nantucket, Massachusetts. The minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread over portions of the warning area tonight and Tuesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor...1 to 2 feet RAINFALL: Hermine will produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across eastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and the offshore islands, through Wednesday. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Landsea/Brown
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Graphics
2016-09-05 23:09:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 20:45:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 21:05:34 GMT
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