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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2016-09-03 22:56:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 032056 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 4(14) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 4(19) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 8(22) 3(25) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 9(16) 9(25) 4(29) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) WORCESTER MA 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 7(18) 12(30) 7(37) 3(40) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 8(20) 12(32) 7(39) 3(42) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) BOSTON MA 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 11(27) 8(35) 4(39) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) HYANNIS MA 34 1 5( 6) 12(18) 8(26) 12(38) 9(47) 4(51) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 2 9(11) 13(24) 8(32) 12(44) 8(52) 5(57) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 3(15) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 1 5( 6) 13(19) 8(27) 13(40) 8(48) 3(51) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 2(12) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 2 6( 8) 14(22) 12(34) 13(47) 6(53) 3(56) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12) BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NEW HAVEN CT 34 2 6( 8) 13(21) 11(32) 14(46) 6(52) 3(55) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 1(11) NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HARTFORD CT 34 1 4( 5) 12(17) 10(27) 12(39) 6(45) 3(48) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) HARTFORD CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NEW LONDON CT 34 2 6( 8) 14(22) 11(33) 14(47) 7(54) 2(56) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 2(14) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ALBANY NY 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 7(17) 5(22) 2(24) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 1 3( 4) 9(13) 9(22) 11(33) 6(39) 2(41) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) POUGHKEEPSIE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONTAUK POINT 34 3 10(13) 16(29) 11(40) 14(54) 6(60) 3(63) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 5(17) 1(18) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ISLIP NY 34 3 9(12) 18(30) 13(43) 12(55) 5(60) 3(63) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 3(16) 2(18) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 3 8(11) 16(27) 14(41) 12(53) 5(58) 2(60) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) X(14) NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 3 6( 9) 15(24) 13(37) 12(49) 6(55) 2(57) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) NYC CNTRL PARK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 3 6( 9) 14(23) 13(36) 12(48) 6(54) 2(56) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) NEWARK NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TRENTON NJ 34 3 6( 9) 13(22) 14(36) 11(47) 4(51) 2(53) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) TRENTON NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NWS EARLE NJ 34 3 10(13) 17(30) 14(44) 13(57) 4(61) 2(63) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 3(16) 1(17) NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ALLENTOWN PA 34 2 3( 5) 10(15) 10(25) 10(35) 4(39) 2(41) ALLENTOWN PA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 3 7(10) 14(24) 13(37) 10(47) 4(51) 2(53) PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) PHILADELPHIA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ATLANTIC CITY 34 4 12(16) 19(35) 14(49) 10(59) 5(64) 1(65) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 9(18) 2(20) X(20) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BALTIMORE MD 34 3 3( 6) 8(14) 9(23) 7(30) 3(33) 1(34) BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 4 8(12) 14(26) 13(39) 10(49) 4(53) X(53) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 3 4( 7) 9(16) 9(25) 8(33) 3(36) 1(37) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 3 3( 6) 6(12) 8(20) 7(27) 2(29) 1(30) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 5 12(17) 17(34) 14(48) 9(57) 3(60) 1(61) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 2(16) 1(17) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 8 13(21) 16(37) 13(50) 9(59) 3(62) 1(63) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 1(15) 1(16) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 6( 9) 9(18) 9(27) 9(36) 2(38) 1(39) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 7 10(17) 14(31) 12(43) 8(51) 2(53) 1(54) WALLOPS CDA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 X( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) RICHMOND VA 34 3 3( 6) 6(12) 5(17) 6(23) 1(24) 1(25) DANVILLE VA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 5 5(10) 9(19) 7(26) 8(34) 2(36) X(36) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) ROCKY MT NC 34 3 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) NEW RIVER NC 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 3(15) 1(16) 1(17) MOREHEAD CITY 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) SURF CITY NC 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) WILMINGTON NC 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-09-03 22:55:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HERMINE EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL CYCLONE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... As of 5:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 3 the center of HERMINE was located near 36.2, -73.3 with movement ENE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 26
2016-09-03 22:55:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 032055 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 500 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 ...HERMINE EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL CYCLONE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.2N 73.3W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ESE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island eastward. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to west of Watch Hill * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds * Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward * Delaware Bay A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Watch Hill to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 36.2 North, longitude 73.3 West. Hermine is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northeast and a decrease in forward speed is expected by Sunday, followed by a slow northward to northwestward motion through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will meander slowly offshore of the mid-Atlantic coast for the next copule of days. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected, and Hermine is expected to intensify to hurricane force on Sunday. Hermine has a large wind field. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. NOAA buoy 44014, located about 75 miles (120 km) east of Virginia Beach, recently reported a sustained wind of 54 mph (86 km/h) and a gust of 67 mph (108 km/h). The Norfolk International Airport recently reported a wind gust of 43 mph (69 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward within the warning area along the Atlantic coast through Monday, and there may be multiple occurrences of tropical storm conditions along portions of the mid-Atlantic coast in the warning area during the next couple of days. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by Monday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation through tonight in the Hampton Roads area, and in the next 36 hours from Chincoteague, Virginia, to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Persons within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow all instructions, including evacuation orders, from local officials. There is also the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours at many coastal locations between Sandy Hook, New Jersey, and Bridgeport, Connecticut. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning graphic, which displays areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... North Carolina sounds...1 to 3 feet Hampton Roads area...2 to 4 feet Chincoteague, VA to Sandy Hook, NJ...3 to 5 feet Sandy Hook, NJ to Bridgeport, CT...2 to 4 feet RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 7 inches over far southeastern Virginia and the Atlantic coastal portion of Maryland through Monday morning. Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 4 inches over southern Delaware, southern and eastern New Jersey, and Long Island through Monday morning. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states and expand northward along the coast of southern New England through Monday. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Forecast Advisory Number 26
2016-09-03 22:54:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 032054 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OCRACOKE INLET TO WEST OF WATCH HILL * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD * DELAWARE BAY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL TO SAGAMORE BEACH * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 73.3W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 120SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 73.3W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 74.1W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 160SE 120SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 37.2N 71.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 150SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 37.7N 71.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 150SE 170SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.0N 72.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 38.8N 71.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 40.0N 71.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 41.0N 68.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N 73.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-09-03 19:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...VERY STRONG WINDS AND SOUND-SIDE FLOODING OCCURRING OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... As of 2:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 3 the center of HERMINE was located near 36.0, -74.2 with movement E at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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