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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 25A

2016-09-03 19:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 031758 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 200 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 ...VERY STRONG WINDS AND SOUND-SIDE FLOODING OCCURRING OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.0N 74.2W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM E OF DUCK NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM ESE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to west of Watch Hill * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds * Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward * Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island eastward * Delaware Bay A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Watch Hill to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 74.2 West. Hermine has been moving toward the east at around 10 mph (17 km/h) during the past few hours. A turn toward the northeast and a decrease in forward speed are expected by tonight, followed by a slow northward motion through early Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will move away from the North Carolina coast this afternoon and meander offshore of the Delmarva Peninsula Sunday night and early Monday. Surface data and data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Hermine is expected to be near hurricane intensity by Sunday. Hermine is producing a large area of tropical-storm-force winds that extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. A National Ocean Service station at Duck Pier in North Carolina recently reported a sustained wind of 56 mph (91 km/h) and a wind gust of 72 mph (117 km/h). A National Ocean Service station at the Coast Guard station at Hatteras, North Carolina recently reported a sustained wind of 48 mph (78 km/h) and a gust of 60 mph (97 km/h). NOAA buoy 44014, located about 75 miles (120 km) east of Virginia Beach recently reported sustained winds of 54 mph (86 km/h) and a gust of 69 mph (112 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward within the warning area along the Atlantic coast through Sunday. Wind gusts of hurricane force are occurring over portions of the North Carolina Outer Banks and will continue through this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by late Sunday or Sunday night. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the next few hours in the Hampton Roads area, and in the next 36 hours from Chincoteague, Virginia, to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Persons within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow all instructions, including evacuation orders, from local officials. There is also the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours at many coastal locations between Sandy Hook, New Jersey, and Bridgeport, Connecticut. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning graphic, which displays areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... North Carolina coast...1 to 3 feet Hampton Roads area...3 to 5 feet Chincoteague, VA to Sandy Hook, NJ...3 to 5 feet Sandy Hook, NJ to Bridgeport, CT...2 to 4 feet RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 7 inches over far southeastern Virginia and the Atlantic coastal portion of Maryland through Monday morning. Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 4 inches over southern Delaware, southern and eastern New Jersey, and Long Island through Monday morning. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states and expand northward along the coast of southern New England through the weekend. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map

2016-09-03 17:32:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Sat, 03 Sep 2016 15:32:26 GMT

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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Forecast Discussion Number 25

2016-09-03 16:57:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 000 WTNT44 KNHC 031457 TCDAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1100 AM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 Satellite imagery indicates that Hermine has become a post-tropical cyclone, with the coldest convective tops now located more than 200 n mi northeast of the exposed center. Despite this change in structure, surface data from the Outer Banks indicate that some strong winds persist near the center, and the initial intensity is set to 55 kt for this advisory. During the next 48 to 72 hours, Hermine will interact with a strong mid-latitude shortwave trough and all of the global models show the system re-intensifying during that time and a redevelopment of a stronger inner core, albeit one situated underneath an upper-level low. Regardless of its final structure, Hermine is expected to remain a dangerous cyclone through the 5 day period. The initial motion estimate is a somewhat uncertain 060/14. Hermine should continue moving northeastward in deep-layer southwesterly flow through 24 hours and then meander generally northward from 36 to 72 hours while the cyclone deepens beneath the upper-level low. Late in the period, the guidance is in generally good agreement showing a steadier motion toward the northeast, although there is significant spread. The new NHC forecast is generally close to the previous one and is near a consensus of the GFS and ECMWF through 3 days, and then favors the guidance that is a bit faster and farther north at days 4 and 5. KEY MESSAGES: 1. The slow motion and large wind field associated with Hermine will result in a long duration of hazardous conditions along much of the mid-Atlantic coast extending into southern New England through the holiday weekend. 2. Although Hermine has become a post-tropical cyclone, NHC will continue to issue its full suite of advisory and warning products as long as the system remains a significant threat to land areas. 3. P-surge, the model that drives the Potential Storm Surge Flooding Graphic, is designed for a wind field typical of a tropical cyclone. The wind field of Hermine is very poorly represented by the P-surge model and as a result, recent Flooding Graphics have understated the inundation risk from the Carolinas northward. NHC will be discontinuing runs of the P-surge model for Hermine with this advisory. The NWS is attempting to substitute the GFS ensemble system for P-surge for the next issuance of the Potential Storm Surge Flooding Graphic, to provide a more realistic depiction of the threat. If this effort is unsuccessful, issuance of the Potential Storm Surge Flooding Graphic for Hermine will also be discontinued. 4. The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic does account for the current wind structure of Hermine, and therefore accurately identifies those areas at risk for life-threatening storm surge. This graphic will continue to be produced for Hermine. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 36.1N 75.2W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 04/0000Z 37.1N 73.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 04/1200Z 37.9N 71.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 05/0000Z 38.4N 71.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 48H 05/1200Z 38.7N 71.9W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 06/1200Z 39.5N 71.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 96H 07/1200Z 40.4N 70.2W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 120H 08/1200Z 41.0N 67.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROPICAL $$ Forecaster Brennan

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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25

2016-09-03 16:54:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 031454 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1500 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 8(23) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 9(15) 4(19) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 8(17) 4(21) AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 11(19) 8(27) 4(31) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 11(27) 7(34) 3(37) CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) 13(30) 8(38) 3(41) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) PORTSMOUTH NH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WORCESTER MA 34 X 6( 6) 14(20) 10(30) 14(44) 6(50) 3(53) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) WORCESTER MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 1 5( 6) 14(20) 12(32) 12(44) 7(51) 2(53) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) SPRINGFIELD MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BOSTON MA 34 X 5( 5) 13(18) 9(27) 15(42) 7(49) 3(52) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HYANNIS MA 34 1 9(10) 19(29) 10(39) 15(54) 7(61) 3(64) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 8(20) 2(22) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 2 13(15) 21(36) 11(47) 14(61) 5(66) 4(70) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 11(17) 7(24) 2(26) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) PROVIDENCE RI 34 1 9(10) 20(30) 12(42) 14(56) 6(62) 3(65) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 6(19) 1(20) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 3 10(13) 21(34) 14(48) 12(60) 5(65) 1(66) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 8(16) 3(19) X(19) BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NEW HAVEN CT 34 3 9(12) 21(33) 14(47) 12(59) 5(64) 2(66) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 8(15) 4(19) X(19) NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 2 7( 9) 18(27) 13(40) 12(52) 6(58) 1(59) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12) HARTFORD CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NEW LONDON CT 34 2 12(14) 22(36) 13(49) 13(62) 5(67) 2(69) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 10(17) 5(22) X(22) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ALBANY NY 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) 9(29) 4(33) 2(35) ALBANY NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 1 5( 6) 14(20) 13(33) 9(42) 6(48) 1(49) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) MONTAUK POINT 34 3 16(19) 25(44) 13(57) 11(68) 6(74) 1(75) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 11(22) 4(26) 2(28) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) ISLIP NY 34 4 14(18) 25(43) 14(57) 11(68) 4(72) 1(73) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 10(23) 3(26) 1(27) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 4 12(16) 22(38) 14(52) 11(63) 5(68) X(68) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 8(18) 3(21) X(21) NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 3 11(14) 19(33) 14(47) 11(58) 5(63) 1(64) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 2(17) 1(18) NYC CNTRL PARK 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 3 10(13) 18(31) 14(45) 12(57) 5(62) X(62) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 2(15) X(15) NEWARK NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 4 9(13) 17(30) 14(44) 10(54) 5(59) X(59) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 1(12) 1(13) TRENTON NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NWS EARLE NJ 34 5 13(18) 20(38) 14(52) 10(62) 5(67) 1(68) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 8(18) 2(20) X(20) NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ALLENTOWN PA 34 2 5( 7) 13(20) 10(30) 10(40) 4(44) 1(45) ALLENTOWN PA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 4 9(13) 16(29) 12(41) 11(52) 4(56) 1(57) PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) 1(11) PHILADELPHIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTIC CITY 34 11 12(23) 18(41) 13(54) 9(63) 3(66) 1(67) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 7(17) 2(19) 1(20) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BALTIMORE MD 34 3 4( 7) 8(15) 8(23) 7(30) 3(33) X(33) DOVER DE 34 7 8(15) 14(29) 11(40) 9(49) 3(52) X(52) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 4 4( 8) 9(17) 8(25) 7(32) 3(35) 1(36) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 3 3( 6) 7(13) 6(19) 7(26) 2(28) X(28) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 16 8(24) 14(38) 11(49) 8(57) 3(60) 1(61) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 2(14) X(14) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 33 5(38) 8(46) 7(53) 9(62) 2(64) X(64) OCEAN CITY MD 50 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 5 4( 9) 10(19) 7(26) 7(33) 3(36) X(36) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WALLOPS CDA 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) RICHMOND VA 34 4 2( 6) 4(10) 4(14) 5(19) 2(21) X(21) DANVILLE VA 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NORFOLK NAS 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NORFOLK VA 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) OCEANA NAS VA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ELIZABETH CTY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) RALEIGH NC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ROCKY MT NC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FAYETTEVILLE 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CHERRY PT NC 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) NEW RIVER NC 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) MOREHEAD CITY 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) SURF CITY NC 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)

2016-09-03 16:53:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HERMINE STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... As of 11:00 AM EDT Sat Sep 3 the center of HERMINE was located near 36.1, -75.2 with movement ENE at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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