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Tropical Depression Emilia Forecast Advisory Number 14
2018-07-01 04:31:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 01 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 010231 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062018 0300 UTC SUN JUL 01 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 121.1W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 121.1W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 120.6W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.8N 122.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.5N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.2N 127.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.9N 129.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.2N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 121.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Depression Emilia Graphics
2018-06-30 22:33:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 30 Jun 2018 20:33:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 30 Jun 2018 21:25:34 GMT
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Tropical Depression Emilia Forecast Discussion Number 13
2018-06-30 22:33:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sat Jun 30 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 302033 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Emilia Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062018 200 PM PDT Sat Jun 30 2018 Emilia has lost all its deep convection while moving over increasingly cooler waters, and it has become a swirl of low clouds. A recent ASCAT pass indicated some isolated spots with 30 kt winds, but it confirms the overall weakening trend of the circulation. Emilia is expected to become a remnant low tonight, although the system could still generate intermittent patches of convection during the next day or so. The initial motion is toward the west-northwest or 290 degrees at 10 kt. The depression, or its remnants, should continue on the same general track steered by the low-level flow until dissipation in a couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/2100Z 18.0N 120.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/0600Z 18.5N 121.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/1800Z 19.0N 123.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 02/0600Z 19.5N 125.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/1800Z 20.5N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Summary for Tropical Depression Emilia (EP1/EP062018)
2018-06-30 22:32:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...EMILIA FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sat Jun 30 the center of Emilia was located near 18.0, -120.0 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Emilia Public Advisory Number 13
2018-06-30 22:32:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sat Jun 30 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 302032 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Emilia Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062018 200 PM PDT Sat Jun 30 2018 ...EMILIA FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 120.0W ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Emilia was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 120.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Emilia is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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