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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2016-09-11 04:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 110231 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016 0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 15N 115W 34 7 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 15N 120W 34 X 6( 6) 16(22) 5(27) 6(33) 1(34) 1(35) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 16(22) 30(52) 11(63) 2(65) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 8(26) 1(27) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 17(24) 16(40) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E (EP1/EP162016)
2016-09-11 04:31:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...YET ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... ...NO IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LAND... As of 9:00 PM MDT Sat Sep 10 the center of SIXTEEN-E was located near 13.9, -114.9 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Public Advisory Number 1
2016-09-11 04:31:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT SAT SEP 10 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 110231 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016 900 PM MDT SAT SEP 10 2016 ...YET ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... ...NO IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LAND... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 114.9W ABOUT 700 MI...1130 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen-E was located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 114.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue on Sunday, with some decrease in forward speed forecast on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Sunday and could become a hurricane by late Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2016-09-11 04:31:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 110230 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016 0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 114.9W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 114.9W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 114.4W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.9N 116.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.0N 118.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.9N 119.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.7N 120.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.9N 120.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 19.1N 122.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 114.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Remnants of SIXTEEN-E Public Advisory Number 9
2015-09-22 21:58:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 300 PM MDT TUE SEP 22 2015
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