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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2015-09-20 22:35:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 202035 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162015 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AN EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 113.7W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 113.7W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 27.1N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 30.3N 112.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 32.8N 112.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 113.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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depression
Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2015-09-20 22:35:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 202035 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162015 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YUMA AZ 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P ABREOJOS 34 20 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) P PENASCO 34 X 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HERMOSILLO 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Remnants of SIXTEEN-E Forecast Discussion Number 15
2014-09-15 04:33:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 150232 TCDEP1 REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162014 800 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014 The last few hours of visible imagery this evening suggested that the circulation of the depression was becoming elongated along a north-south axis and losing definition, with definitive westward-moving cloud elements near the alleged center hard to identify. In addition, the decaying circulation was becoming increasingly separated from a limited patch of deep convection. Based on these observations, this will be the last advisory on this system. The remnants of the depression are expected to turn northeastward and become fully absorbed within the circulation of Hurricane Odile over the next day or so. For additional information on the remnants of the depression, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0300Z 16.3N 112.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...DISSIPATED 12H 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Franklin
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Summary for Remnants of SIXTEEN-E (EP1/EP162014)
2014-09-15 04:31:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DISSIPATES... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sun Sep 14 the center of SIXTEEN-E was located near 16.3, -112.3 with movement ENE at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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remnants
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Summary for Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E (EP1/EP162014)
2014-09-14 22:31:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... ...FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Sep 14 the center of SIXTEEN-E was located near 15.6, -113.4 with movement ENE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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tropical
depression
tropical depression
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