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Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2020-07-09 22:56:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 09 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 092055 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020 2100 UTC THU JUL 09 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) 23(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ALBANY NY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X 2( 2) 26(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 6( 6) 24(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NYC CNTRL PARK 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEWARK NJ 34 X 2( 2) 19(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) TRENTON NJ 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) TRENTON NJ 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X 5( 5) 20(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 14(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DOVER DE 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 4 17(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEAN CITY MD 34 11 17(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) OCEAN CITY MD 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WALLOPS CDA 34 12 7(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) WALLOPS CDA 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number speed wind storm

 

Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Advisory Number 1

2020-07-09 22:55:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 09 2020 000 WTNT21 KNHC 092055 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020 2100 UTC THU JUL 09 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND INCLUDING LONG ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 74.9W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 74.9W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 74.9W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 37.1N 74.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 39.0N 74.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 41.6N 73.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 45.3N 72.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 49.1N 70.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N 74.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 10/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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