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Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 4

2020-07-22 16:39:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Jul 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 221438 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020 1100 AM AST Wed Jul 22 2020 ...GONZALO CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.9N 43.6W ABOUT 1205 MI...1935 KM E OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 9.9 North, longitude 43.6 West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A general westward motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Gonzalo is expected to become a hurricane by Thursday. Gonzalo is a small tropical cyclone, as tropical-storm-force winds extend outward only up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 4

2020-07-22 16:39:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 221438 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072020 1500 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 43.6W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 43.6W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 43.0W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 10.0N 45.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 10.0N 47.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 10.1N 50.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 10.4N 52.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 10.7N 55.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 11.4N 58.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 13.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 15.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.9N 43.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Summary for Tropical Storm Gonzalo (AT2/AL072020)

2020-07-22 14:48:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN BECOMES TROPICAL STORM GONZALO... As of 8:50 AM AST Wed Jul 22 the center of Gonzalo was located near 9.9, -43.1 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Gonzalo Update Statement

2020-07-22 14:48:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 850 AM AST Wed Jul 22 2020 000 WTNT62 KNHC 221248 TCUAT2 Tropical Storm Gonzalo Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020 850 AM AST Wed Jul 22 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN BECOMES TROPICAL STORM GONZALO... Satellite data indicate that Tropical Depression Seven has strengthened and is now Tropical Storm Gonzalo with 45 mph (75 km/h) winds. The intensity forecast will be updated in the regular advisory at 11 AM AST...1500 UTC. SUMMARY OF 850 AM AST...1250 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.9N 43.1W ABOUT 1250 MI...2010 KM E OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES $$ Forecaster Beven

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