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Summary for Hurricane JOAQUIN (AT1/AL112015)
2015-10-05 16:39:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JOAQUIN MOVING AWAY FROM BERMUDA BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON THE ISLAND... As of 11:00 AM AST Mon Oct 5 the center of JOAQUIN was located near 35.0, -64.6 with movement NNE at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 964 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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Hurricane JOAQUIN Public Advisory Number 32
2015-10-05 16:39:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST MON OCT 05 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 051438 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JOAQUIN ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 1100 AM AST MON OCT 05 2015 ...JOAQUIN MOVING AWAY FROM BERMUDA BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON THE ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.0N 64.6W ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM N OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Joaquin was located near latitude 35.0 North, longitude 64.6 West. Joaquin is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a turn toward the northeast is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the east-northeast on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Joaquin will continue to move away from Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Joaquin is expected to transition to a large extratropical low pressure system on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). A sustained wind speed of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a gust to 58 mph (93 km/h) were recently reported at the Bermuda International Airport. The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to affect Bermuda for a few more hours. STORM SURGE: Water levels near Bermuda should gradually subside today. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and potentially damaging waves. RAINFALL: Rain will diminish across Bermuda this morning as Joaquin moves away from the area. SURF: Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect portions of the Bahamas during the next day or so. Swells are affecting much of the east coast of the United States and will spread northward along the coast of Atlantic Canada during the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Even though Joaquin is passing well east of the coast of the United States, a prolonged period of elevated water levels and large waves will affect the mid-Atlantic region, causing significant beach and dune erosion with moderate coastal flooding likely. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane JOAQUIN Forecast Advisory Number 32
2015-10-05 16:37:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 05 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 051437 TCMAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 1500 UTC MON OCT 05 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 64.6W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 420SE 420SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 64.6W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 64.9W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.3N 63.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 38.0N 59.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 170SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.3N 54.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 200SE 180SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.5N 47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 110SE 110SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 240SE 240SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 42.5N 32.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 110SE 110SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 240SE 240SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 44.0N 21.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 45.1N 15.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N 64.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Hurricane JOAQUIN Graphics
2015-10-05 13:44:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Oct 2015 11:44:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Oct 2015 09:05:45 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane JOAQUIN (AT1/AL112015)
2015-10-05 13:41:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JOAQUIN BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS STILL OCCURRING ON THE ISLAND... As of 8:00 AM AST Mon Oct 5 the center of JOAQUIN was located near 34.6, -64.6 with movement NNE at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 964 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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