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Tropical Depression ONE-E Public Advisory Number 5
2016-06-07 22:32:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 072032 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 400 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 ...THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND WESTERN GUATEMALA AS DEPRESSION NEARS THE COAST... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 94.7W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch from Puerto Escondido to Salina Cruz. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for... * Salina Cruz to Boca De Pijijiapan A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area today and tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 94.7 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). The system is expected to slow and turn toward the north today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate either over the Gulf of Tehuantepec or just inland over southern Mexico by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Chiapas, and 2 to 4 inches over the Mexican states of Tabasco and eastern Veracruz, and over western Guatemala. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in Oaxaca and Chiapas. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds, primarily in gusts, are possible in the watch area today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2016-06-07 22:32:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 072032 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 2100 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Graphics
2016-06-07 19:38:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 07 Jun 2016 17:38:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 07 Jun 2016 15:05:04 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression ONE-E (EP1/EP012016)
2016-06-07 19:33:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION REMAINS DISORGANIZED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND WESTERN GUATEMALA... As of 1:00 PM CDT Tue Jun 7 the center of ONE-E was located near 15.4, -94.8 with movement ENE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Public Advisory Number 4A
2016-06-07 19:33:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 071733 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 100 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 ...DEPRESSION REMAINS DISORGANIZED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND WESTERN GUATEMALA... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 94.8W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Puerto Escondido to Boca De Pijijiapan A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area today and tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 94.8 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 6 mph (10 km/h). The system is expected to slow and turn toward the north today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate either over the Gulf of Tehuantepec or just inland over southern Mexico by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches with isolated amounts of around 10 inches possible through Wednesday over the southern Mexican states of Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco, and eastern Veracruz, and over western Guatemala. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds, primarily in gusts, are possible in the watch area today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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