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Tropical Depression Nineteen Public Advisory Number 2
2020-09-12 04:43:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 120243 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR SOUTH FLORIDA... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 79.8W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM ESE OF MIAMI FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Florida panhandle from the Ochlockonee River to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * South of Jupiter Inlet to north of Ocean Reef * Ochlockonee River to Okaloosa/Walton County Line A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within the next 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the northern Gulf Coast should monitor the progress of this system. Tropical storm or hurricane watches could be issued for a portion of that area on Saturday. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 79.8 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of depression is forecast to move inland over south Florida during the next several hours, move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico late Saturday, and then move northwestward over the north-central Gulf of Mexico on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression could become a tropical storm before moving across south Florida overnight. Otherwise it is expected to become a tropical storm Saturday night or Sunday and gradually intensify through Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in south Florida overnight and early Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the Florida Panhandle by Sunday night. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Nineteen is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches across central and southern Florida, including the Florida Keys through Sunday. This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding and prolong high flows and ongoing minor flooding on rivers across Central Florida. Total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches is expected across the western Florida Panhandle. This rainfall could produce isolated flash flooding. SURF: Swells are expected to spread northward along the west-central coast of Florida and the Florida Panhandle during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Nineteen Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-09-12 04:42:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 120242 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020 0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE OCHLOCKNEE RIVER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF * OCHLOCKNEE RIVER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEHWERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THAT AREA ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 79.8W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 79.8W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 79.4W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.0N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.8N 82.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 27.9N 84.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 28.8N 85.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.3N 86.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 29.7N 87.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 30.2N 89.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 31.3N 90.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 79.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 12/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression Nineteen Graphics
2020-09-12 01:33:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 11 Sep 2020 23:33:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 11 Sep 2020 21:40:16 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Nineteen (AT4/AL192020)
2020-09-12 01:33:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS ACROSS SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... As of 8:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 the center of Nineteen was located near 25.5, -79.5 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Nineteen Public Advisory Number 1A
2020-09-12 01:33:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 112332 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS ACROSS SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.5N 79.5W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM ESE OF MIAMI FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * South of Jupiter Inlet to north of Ocean Reef A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours. Interests along the northern Gulf Coast should also monitor the progress of this system. Tropical storm or hurricane watches could be issued for a portion of that area tonight or on Saturday. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen was located near latitude 25.5 North, longitude 79.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). On the forecast track, the depression is forecast to move inland over south Florida early on Saturday, move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico late Saturday, and then move northwestward over the north-central Gulf of Mexico on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression could become a tropical storm before moving across south Florida overnight. Otherwise it is expected to become a tropical storm on Sunday and gradually intensify through Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within the next 6 to 12 hours. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Nineteen is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches across central and southern Florida, including the Florida Keys. This rainfall could produce isolated flash flooding and prolong ongoing minor flooding on rivers in the Tampa Bay area. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Zelinsky
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