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Tropical Depression Ten-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2020-08-16 10:41:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 160841 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 15N 135W 34 1 7( 8) 9(17) 4(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25) 15N 135W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 13
2020-08-16 10:41:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 160840 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 133.8W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 133.8W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 133.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.8N 133.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.1N 134.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.1N 134.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.0N 135.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.8N 135.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.5N 136.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 13.0N 137.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 12.3N 138.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 133.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Graphics
2020-08-16 04:34:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 02:34:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 03:44:53 GMT
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics
2020-08-16 04:33:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 02:33:05 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 03:38:18 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Eleven-E (EP1/EP112020)
2020-08-16 04:33:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...EXPECTED TO BE SHORT LIVED... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sat Aug 15 the center of Eleven-E was located near 18.4, -118.6 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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