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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102020)
2020-08-15 04:37:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION MEANDERING OVER THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... As of 8:00 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 the center of Ten-E was located near 13.4, -133.1 with movement W at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 8
2020-08-15 04:37:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 150237 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102020 800 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 ...DEPRESSION MEANDERING OVER THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 133.1W ABOUT 1655 MI...2665 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 133.1 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h). The system is forecast to meander generally westward tonight and northwestward over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Minor fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next two or three days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 8
2020-08-15 04:37:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 150237 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 133.1W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 133.1W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 133.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.3N 133.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.3N 133.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.5N 134.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.9N 134.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.2N 135.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.4N 135.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 14.4N 136.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 14.0N 137.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 133.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Discussion Number 7
2020-08-14 22:54:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 142054 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102020 200 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 ASCAT-B data valid around 1900 UTC showed max winds a little higher than 30 kt associated with the rain-free circulation of the depression. However, since that time, the convective structure of the cyclone has degraded substantially and if it was previously producing winds of tropical-storm-force, it likely no longer is doing so at this time. Therefore, the initial intensity for this advisory is held at 30 kt. Only minor fluctuations in the intensity and structure of the depression are expected for the next 3 days due to strong northeasterly wind shear. Assuming the system doesn't dissipate at some point during that period of time, the upper-level winds could become less hostile early next week. The dynamical guidance generally indicates that the tropical cyclone will hang on and modest strengthening is possible early next week. No changes were made to the NHC intensity forecast, which closely follows the multi-model consensus. Likewise, only minor adjustments were made to the NHC track forecast. The depression is still forecast to meander for the next 5 days, initially west-southwestward to westward, then northwestward over the weekend. The strength of a low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone is the primary factor in the steering flow. While there are slight variations from model to model on the speed and heading of the tropical cyclone, they all agree that it won't move much through the early portion of next week, and possibly even beyond that. The NHC forecast essentially splits the difference between the previous official forecast, HCCA, and TVCE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/2100Z 13.5N 132.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 15/0600Z 13.3N 133.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 15/1800Z 13.2N 133.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 16/0600Z 13.4N 133.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 16/1800Z 13.8N 134.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 17/0600Z 14.2N 134.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 17/1800Z 14.5N 135.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 18/1800Z 14.6N 135.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 120H 19/1800Z 14.5N 136.5W 35 KT 40 MPH $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics
2020-08-14 22:53:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 14 Aug 2020 20:53:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 14 Aug 2020 20:53:50 GMT
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