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Tropical Depression Fausto Public Advisory Number 6
2020-08-17 10:38:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 170838 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fausto Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020 200 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020 ...FAUSTO EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.1N 124.2W ABOUT 655 MI...1050 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fausto was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 124.2 West. Fausto is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through midday today. A turn toward the west and west-southwest with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected to begin this afternoon and continue through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected, and Fausto is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low later today. The remnant low is expected to dissipate late Tuesday or early Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Depression Fausto Graphics
2020-08-17 04:35:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 17 Aug 2020 02:35:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 17 Aug 2020 03:24:40 GMT
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Tropical Depression Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-08-17 04:34:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 170234 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Fausto Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 Deep convection continues to decrease near Fausto, with only a small area remaining near and south of the center. Satellite estimates are dropping and support making Fausto a 30-kt tropical depression on this advisory, which also matches the 25-30 kt ASCAT data from earlier. The cyclone is rapidly moving over cold water, and should cease producing deep convection overnight. Thus further weakening is likely, and remnant low status is expected on Monday, with a slow decay over cold waters thereafter as shown in the global models. Fausto is moving northwestward at around 15 kt along the southwestern periphery of a mid-level ridge. The storm should turn westward tomorrow and south-of-west on Tuesday due to the orientation of the lower- to middle-level ridge. The official forecast is basically an update of the previous one, and is not far from the eastern Pacific model consensus aid, TVCE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/0300Z 23.1N 122.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 17/1200Z 24.1N 125.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 18/0000Z 24.6N 127.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 18/1200Z 24.5N 129.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 19/0000Z 24.0N 131.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 19/1200Z 23.0N 134.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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Summary for Tropical Depression Fausto (EP1/EP112020)
2020-08-17 04:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...FAUSTO BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 the center of Fausto was located near 23.1, -122.9 with movement NW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Fausto Public Advisory Number 5
2020-08-17 04:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 170233 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fausto Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 ...FAUSTO BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.1N 122.9W ABOUT 825 MI...1330 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fausto was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 122.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a gradual turn toward the west-northwest and west at a slower forward speed is anticipated over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Fausto is expected to degenerate into a remnant area of low pressure on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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