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Tropical Depression Gilma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2018-07-29 16:41:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 29 2018 044 FOPZ13 KNHC 291441 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082018 1500 UTC SUN JUL 29 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Summary for Tropical Depression Gilma (EP3/EP082018)
2018-07-29 16:40:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...GILMA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sun Jul 29 the center of Gilma was located near 15.9, -138.5 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Gilma Public Advisory Number 12
2018-07-29 16:40:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018 731 WTPZ33 KNHC 291440 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Gilma Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082018 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018 ...GILMA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 138.5W ABOUT 1120 MI...1805 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Gilma was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 138.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). This general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The tropical depression is in an area of unfavorable upper-level winds, and Gilma is forecast to become a remnant low later today and dissipate entirely within a few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Gilma Forecast Advisory Number 12
2018-07-29 16:40:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 29 2018 732 WTPZ23 KNHC 291440 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082018 1500 UTC SUN JUL 29 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 138.5W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 138.5W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 137.9W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.0N 140.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 15.9N 142.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.7N 144.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 147.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 138.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression Gilma Graphics
2018-07-29 10:39:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jul 2018 08:39:05 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jul 2018 09:25:36 GMT
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