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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102018)
2018-07-31 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... ...NO THREAT TO ANY LAND AREAS... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Jul 31 the center of Ten-E was located near 12.7, -116.7 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 1
2018-07-31 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 31 2018 521 WTPZ35 KNHC 312038 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102018 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 31 2018 ...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... ...NO THREAT TO ANY LAND AREAS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.7N 116.7W ABOUT 835 MI...1340 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 116.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days, followed by a turn toward the west thereafter. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2018-07-31 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 31 2018 520 WTPZ25 KNHC 312038 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 2100 UTC TUE JUL 31 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 116.7W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 116.7W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 116.1W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.1N 118.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.6N 120.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.8N 122.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.0N 124.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.8N 128.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 13.7N 132.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 13.6N 136.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 116.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression Gilma Graphics
2018-07-29 16:43:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jul 2018 14:43:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jul 2018 14:43:09 GMT
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Tropical Depression Gilma Forecast Discussion Number 12
2018-07-29 16:41:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018 256 WTPZ43 KNHC 291441 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Gilma Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082018 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018 Gilma is on its way in becoming a remnant low. Very strong west-northwesterly shear has pushed all of the associated convection well away from the center, leaving a completely exposed low-level swirl. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt, in agreement with a blend of the Dvorak Final T- and CI-numbers from TAFB and SAB. Now that Gilma is located to the west of an upper-level trough axis, strong west-northwesterly shear is expected to continue. These hostile winds aloft, plus marginal SSTs and dry air, should cause Gilma to become a remnant low later today and ultimately degenerate into a trough in 2 to 3 days. The depression is moving westward at 12 kt, steered by the flow on the south side of a low- to mid-level ridge. This general motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected until the system dissipates. Little change was made to the previous NHC track forecast, and this one lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/1500Z 15.9N 138.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 30/0000Z 16.0N 140.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 30/1200Z 15.9N 142.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 31/0000Z 15.7N 144.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 31/1200Z 15.5N 147.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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