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Tropical Storm Victor Graphics
2021-09-30 22:38:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 30 Sep 2021 20:38:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 30 Sep 2021 21:28:55 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Victor (AT5/AL202021)
2021-09-30 22:37:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...VICTOR HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH OVER THE TROPICAL EAST ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 30 the center of Victor was located near 9.9, -30.0 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Victor Public Advisory Number 6
2021-09-30 22:37:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 30 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 302036 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Victor Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202021 500 PM AST Thu Sep 30 2021 ...VICTOR HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH OVER THE TROPICAL EAST ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.9N 30.0W ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM SW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Victor was located near latitude 9.9 North, longitude 30.0 West. Victor is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west-northwest to northwest motion over the eastern tropical Atlantic is expected through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. However, a weakening trend is expected to begin over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Victor Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2021-09-30 22:37:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 30 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 302036 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 2100 UTC THU SEP 30 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 30.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm Victor Forecast Advisory Number 6
2021-09-30 22:36:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 30 2021 000 WTNT25 KNHC 302036 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 2100 UTC THU SEP 30 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 30.0W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 105SE 45SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 30.0W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 29.5W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.6N 31.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 60SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.6N 33.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.9N 34.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.5N 36.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.4N 38.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 40.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.6N 42.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 28.0N 42.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.9N 30.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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