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Remnants of INGRID Public Advisory Number 20
2013-09-17 10:39:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT TUE SEP 17 2013 000 WTNT35 KNHC 170839 TCPAT5 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 400 AM CDT TUE SEP 17 2013 ...INGRID DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING STILL POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 99.9W ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM W OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT INGRID NO LONGER HAS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN MEXICO. AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF INGRID WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.9 WEST AND WERE MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF INGRID ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Remnants of INGRID Forecast Advisory Number 20
2013-09-17 10:38:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 17 2013 000 WTNT25 KNHC 170838 TCMAT5 REMNANTS OF INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 0900 UTC TUE SEP 17 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 99.9W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 99.9W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 99.7W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Depression INGRID Graphics
2013-09-17 05:13:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 17 Sep 2013 02:34:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 17 Sep 2013 03:06:25 GMT
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Tropical Depression INGRID Forecast Discussion Number 19
2013-09-17 04:33:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2013 000 WTNT45 KNHC 170233 TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 1000 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2013 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DATA FROM THE BROWNSVILLE TEXAS WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED TO -80C AND COLDER JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER...AND BANDING FEATURES HAVE BECOME BETTER DEFINED IN BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA. BASED ON THE IMPROVED STRUCTURE...INGRID IS BEING MAINTAINED AS A 25-KT DEPRESSION FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE CYCLONE SHOULD GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN AS FRICTION WEAKENS THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD WHILE THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION GETS DISRUPTED BY THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS...WHICH LIE JUST TO THE WEST OF INGRID. INGRID HAS SLOWED ITS WESTWARD MOTION AND IS NOW MOVING 270/04 KT. THE DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS LIKELY DUE TO THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION OF THE CYCLONE BEGINNING TO PUSH UP AGAINST THE HIGH SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAIN RANGE. THE MID-/UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AT A FASTER SPEED...CAUSING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION TO DECOUPLE AND MOVE MORE SLOWLY TO THE WEST OR EVEN TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. INGRID IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN 12 TO 24 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. INGRID AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS ACROSS EASTERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ESPECIALLY IN STRONG UPSLOPE REGIONS OF EASTWARD-FACING MOUNTAIN RANGES TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE CENTER. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/0300Z 23.7N 99.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 12H 17/1200Z 23.7N 100.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Summary for Tropical Depression INGRID (AT5/AL102013)
2013-09-17 04:32:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SLOW-MOVING INGRID PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLOODS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... As of 10:00 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 the center of INGRID was located near 23.7, -99.4 with movement W at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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