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Hurricane CRISTINA Public Advisory Number 17
2014-06-13 16:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT FRI JUN 13 2014 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 131432 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CRISTINA ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 800 AM PDT FRI JUN 13 2014 ...CRISTINA A LITTLE WEAKER... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 109.6W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ESE OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. CRISTINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTINA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTINA ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Hurricane CRISTINA Forecast Advisory Number 17
2014-06-13 16:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 13 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 131432 TCMEP3 HURRICANE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 1500 UTC FRI JUN 13 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.6W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.6W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 109.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.7N 110.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.4N 111.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.8N 112.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.1N 113.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 21.0N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 109.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Hurricane CRISTINA Graphics
2014-06-13 11:08:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2014 08:39:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2014 09:03:48 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane CRISTINA (EP3/EP032014)
2014-06-13 10:38:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CRISTINA WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... As of 2:00 AM PDT Fri Jun 13 the center of CRISTINA was located near 17.7, -109.1 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
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Hurricane CRISTINA Public Advisory Number 16
2014-06-13 10:38:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT FRI JUN 13 2014 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 130838 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CRISTINA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 200 AM PDT FRI JUN 13 2014 ...CRISTINA WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 109.1W ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM ESE OF SOCORRO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST. CRISTINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CRISTINA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTINA ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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