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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2020-04-25 22:32:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 252032 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 200 PM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020 The overall organization of the depression has changed little since this morning. Its well-defined but exposed center is displaced north of the active convection. Since the organization of the cyclone is largely unchanged, the initial intensity remains 30 kt for this advisory. This is also supported by the latest UW-CIMSS SATCON estimate. There is no change to the forecast reasoning. The depression is still forecast to track generally northwestward today and tonight, and then turn westward on Sunday. Although it is not explicitly shown in the forecast, some minimal short-term strengthening is possible today and the system could briefly become a tropical storm. A combination of dry air, increasing shear, and cooler SSTs should cause the cyclone to weaken by tomorrow, and it will likely become a remnant low within 36 hours. The remnant low could then persist for another day or so before dissipating early next week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/2100Z 14.5N 116.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/0600Z 15.2N 117.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 26/1800Z 16.1N 119.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 27/0600Z 16.6N 121.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1800Z 16.8N 123.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-04-25 22:31:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT APR 25 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 252031 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SAT APR 25 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 116.9W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 116.9W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.6W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.2N 117.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.1N 119.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.6N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 116.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 1
2020-04-25 16:49:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 251448 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 800 AM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020 Overnight ASCAT data showed the disturbance over the central eastern Pacific basin has developed a well-defined center. Furthermore, convection associated with the low has increased in organization since yesterday. Advisories have therefore been initiated on Tropical Depression One-E. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt based primarily on the aforementioned ASCAT data. This marks the earliest formation of a tropical cyclone in the eastern North Pacific basin since the satellite era began in 1966. The depression is not expected to stick around for long. Dry air in the surrounding environment appears to have already wrapped around much of the cyclone's circulation, and this is likely limiting its associated convection. This should also prevent the depression from strengthening much during the next 24 h, but it can not be ruled out that the system could briefly become a tropical storm later today. On Sunday, an increase in vertical wind shear and lower SSTs along the forecast track will contribute to the depression's demise, and it is expected to become a remnant low within about 36 h, if not sooner. The initial motion estimate is northwest at 6 kt. The depression should continue on a general northwestward heading for another day or so until it becomes a remnant low. The remnants should then turn westward with the low-level trade wind flow until it dissipates entirely in a couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/1500Z 14.1N 116.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/0000Z 14.9N 116.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 26/1200Z 15.9N 118.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 27/0000Z 16.7N 119.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1200Z 17.1N 121.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-04-25 16:43:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT APR 25 2020 370 WTPZ21 KNHC 251443 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 1500 UTC SAT APR 25 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 116.1W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 116.1W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 115.8W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.9N 116.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.9N 118.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N 119.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.1N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 116.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Netflix adds nearly 16 mln new customers in Q1, double its forecast
2020-04-22 08:32:00| Telecompaper Headlines
(Telecompaper) Netflix added 15.77 million new subscribers in the first quarter, more than double the 7 million forecast by the company as more people forced to stay at home due to the coronavirus outbreak turned to the streaming service. Netflix said it expects to return to more normal growth of 7.5 million net additions in the second quarter.
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