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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-27 19:50:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
524 ABPZ20 KNHC 271750 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rosa, located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite data and reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has become a little better defined since yesterday. Environmental conditions appear favorable for additional development, and a tropical cyclone is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-27 19:29:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
176 ABNT20 KNHC 271729 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, which is approaching the Lesser Antilles. Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west of the Azores, remains a powerful non-tropical low with storm-force winds. The associated shower activity is gradually becoming better organized, and Leslie is expected to again become a subtropical storm, or possibly a tropical storm, tonight or Friday while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph over the north-central Atlantic. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity has become more concentrated in association with an area of disturbed weather located about 250 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts. While satellite wind data indicate that the system has gale-force winds, there are currently no signs of a closed circulation. Little additional development of this system is expected before it merges with a frontal system tonight. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-27 13:40:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
829 ABNT20 KNHC 271140 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, located a couple of hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west of the Azores, remains a powerful non-tropical low with hurricane-force winds. The associated shower activity is gradually becoming more organized, and Leslie is expected to again become a subtropical storm, or possibly a tropical storm, later today or Friday while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph over the north-central Atlantic. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-27 13:39:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
370 ABPZ20 KNHC 271139 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Sep 27 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rosa, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become favorable for gradual development, and a tropical cyclone is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-27 07:08:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
456 ABPZ20 KNHC 270508 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 26 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rosa, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become favorable for gradual development, and a tropical cyclone is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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