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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-23 01:22:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
172 ABPZ20 KNHC 222322 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Sep 22 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure centered around 200 miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this disturbance is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward, well off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far western portion of the eastern North Pacific in a few days. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves generally westward at around 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-23 01:21:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
413 ABNT20 KNHC 222321 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 22 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven, located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Kirk, located well south of the Cabo Verde Islands. A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles south-southwest of Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Unfavorable upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit development tonight and Sunday, but conditions could become more conducive for some development of this system on Monday or Tuesday while it moves westward and west-northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. By the middle of next week, strong upper-level winds are likely to limit additional development as the system turns northward and moves closer to the southeastern coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. Conditions are expected to become conducive for this low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics during the next day or so, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form by early next week while the low meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Kirk are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Kirk are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-22 19:32:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
823 ABNT20 KNHC 221732 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 22 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven, located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Storm Kirk, located well south of the Cabo Verde Islands. A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of Bermuda is now producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit development for the next day or so, but conditions could become more conducive for some development of this system by early next week while it moves westward and west-northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. By the middle of next week, upper-level winds are likely to increase again, which would limit additional development as the system turns northward and moves closer to the southeastern coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A frontal non-tropical low pressure system is located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. Conditions are expected to become conducive for this low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics during the next day or so, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form by early next week while the low meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. Public Advisories on Kirk are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Kirk are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-22 19:29:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
190 ABPZ20 KNHC 221729 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 22 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of days well south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-22 13:11:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
113 ABNT20 KNHC 221111 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Sep 22 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven, located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better organized near the center of a low pressure system located about 500 miles south of the southern Cabo Verde Islands, and a tropical depression appears to be forming. If these trends continue, advisories will be initiated on this system later today while the low moves westward at about 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of Bermuda is producing only minimal shower activity. Strong upper- level winds are expected to diminish by Sunday or Monday, which could allow for some slow development of this system while it moves westward and then northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. By the middle of next week, upper-level winds are likely to strengthen again, which would limit additional development as the system moves closer to the southeastern coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Satellite imagery indicates that a non-tropical low pressure system is forming along a frontal boundary about 900 miles west-southwest of the Azores. Conditions are expected to become conducive for the low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form by early next week while the low meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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