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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-25 01:23:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
835 ABPZ20 KNHC 242323 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 24 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located around 300 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward, well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A trough of low pressure located about 1600 miles south-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii is producing disorganized shower activity. Some gradual development of this system is possible through the end of this week while it moves westward into the eastern portion of the central Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
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eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 19:54:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
534 ABNT20 KNHC 241754 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has stopped issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Kirk, located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and continues to issue advisories on Subtropical Storm Leslie, located about 1200 miles west of the Azores. A tropical wave, the remnants of Kirk, is located about 1400 miles east of the Windward Islands. This system is producing showers and thunderstorms along with winds to gale force over the northern portion of the wave. Redevelopment of this system is possible over the next few days until it encounters highly unfavorable upper-level winds while it approaches the Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become slightly more conducive for development during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward. By Tuesday night and Wednesday, upper-level winds are expected to increase, limiting the chances for additional development, while the system moves northward near the southeastern United States coast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of Subtropical Storm Leslie along a cold front over the central Atlantic by Wednesday. Leslie and the non-tropical low are expected to merge over the central Atlantic, where conditions appear conducive for the low to acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 19:35:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
837 ABPZ20 KNHC 241735 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 24 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a little over 300 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to become better organized and have increased in coverage during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far western portion of the eastern North Pacific basin in a couple of days. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves westward toward the central Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 13:41:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
541 ABNT20 KNHC 241141 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Kirk, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and on Subtropical Storm Leslie located more than 1000 miles west of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure located about midway between Bermuda and the Bahamas continues to produce a limited amount of shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become slightly more conducive for development during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward. By Tuesday night and Wednesday, upper-level winds are expected to increase, limiting the chances for additional development, while the system moves northward near the southeastern United States coast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of Subtropical Storm Leslie along a cold front over the central Atlantic by Wednesday. Leslie and the non-tropical low are expected to merge over the central Atlantic, where conditions appear conducive for the low to acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 13:40:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
505 ABPZ20 KNHC 241140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Sep 24 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a little over 300 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to become better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple days while the system moves west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far western portion of the eastern North Pacific basin in a couple of days. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves westward toward the central Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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