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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 07:12:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
593 ABPZ20 KNHC 240512 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 23 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while it moves west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far western portion of the eastern North Pacific basin in a couple of days. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves westward toward the central Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 07:10:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
315 ABNT20 KNHC 240510 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Kirk, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and on Subtropical Storm Leslie located more than 1000 miles west of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure located about midway between Bermuda and the Bahamas continues to produce a limited amount of shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become slightly more conducive for development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward. By Tuesday night and Wednesday, upper-level winds are expected to increase, limiting the chances for additional development, while the system moves northward near the southeastern United States coast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of Subtropical Storm Leslie along a cold front over the central Atlantic by Wednesday. Leslie and the non-tropical low are expected to merge over the central Atlantic, where conditions appear conducive for the low to acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 01:33:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
427 ABNT20 KNHC 232333 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 23 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and on Subtropical Storm Leslie located more than 1000 miles west of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure located about 375 miles southwest of Bermuda continues to produce limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic. The low is forecast to turn northward by Tuesday night, and pass near the southeastern United States coast on Wednesday. After that time, upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable while the low begins to move northeastward, away from the east coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of Subtropical Storm Leslie along a central Atlantic cold front by Wednesday. Leslie and the non-tropical low are forecast to merge over the central Atlantic where conditions appear conducive for the resulting low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics by the latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 01:15:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
154 ABPZ20 KNHC 232315 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 23 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is beginning to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development and a tropical depression is likely to from within the next few days while it moves west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far western portion of the eastern North Pacific basin by the middle of the week. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves westward toward the central Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-23 19:28:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
244 ABNT20 KNHC 231728 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 23 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Depression Eleven, and is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and on newly formed Subtropical Storm Leslie located a little more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure located between Bermuda and the Bahamas continues to produce limited shower and thunderstorm activity. The strong upper-level winds currently affecting the system are expected to diminish, and this could favor some development during the next couple of days. The low is forecast to move westward and west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean and by Tuesday or Wednesday, upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen again, likely limiting the development. By then, the system is expected to be moving by the southeastern coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of Subtropical Storm Leslie along a central Atlantic cold front by Wednesday. Conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics by the latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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