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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-20 13:29:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 201128 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen, located several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a tropical wave and accompanying broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea. Satellite imagery suggests that the circulation is becoming better defined and if these development trends continue, a tropical depression is likely to form today or tonight as the system approaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Interests in Honduras and the Yucatan Peninsula should closely monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, this disturbance will likely produce heavy rains across a large portion of Central America and southeastern Mexico late this week and this weekend. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance system later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave over western Africa is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the Africa coast. This wave is expected to move over the far eastern tropical Atlantic on Friday, and some slow development is possible through the weekend while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-20 13:28:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201128 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 20 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Genevieve, located about 55 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form this weekend several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-20 07:51:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 200550 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly developed Tropical Depression Thirteen, located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. A tropical wave and accompanying broad area of low pressure is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a couple of days when the system reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is moving westward, and interests in Honduras and the Yucatan Peninsula should closely monitor its progress. Regardless of development, this disturbance will likely produce heavy rains across a large portion of Central America and southeastern Mexico late this week and this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave over western Africa is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This wave is expected to move over the far eastern tropical Atlantic on Friday, and some slow development is possible through the weekend while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-20 07:20:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200520 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Genevieve, located about 45 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form later this week and over the weekend several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by mid next week while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-20 01:27:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 192327 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Aug 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Genevieve, located less than 100 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form later this week and over the weekend several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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