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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-19 19:39:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 191739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Jerry, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some development of this system is possible while the system approaches the Windward Islands this weekend or when it moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An elongated area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located just south of Hispaniola. Although upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development, this system is producing persistent showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development is possible during the next day or two as long as the system remains over water. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Greater Antilles during the next few days while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development thereafter and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-19 19:36:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191736 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located over the far southwestern part of the basin, on Tropical Storm Mario, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lorena, located near the coast of southwestern Mexico. Thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern North Pacific has increased since early this morning but remains disorganized. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next day or two while the system moves little. Further development is unlikely after that time as the system interacts with and is possibly absorbed by Kiko. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure could form south of the southern coast of Mexico in a day or two. Only slow development, if any, is expected thereafter while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-19 13:50:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191149 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Sep 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located over the far southwestern part of the basin, on Tropical Storm Mario, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Hurricane Lorena, located near the coast of southwestern Mexico. An elongated area of low pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern North Pacific continues to produce a few disorganized thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next day or two while the system moves little. Further development is unlikely after that time as the system interacts with and is possibly absorbed by Kiko. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure could form south of the southern coast of Mexico in a day or two. Slow development of the system is possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-19 13:45:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 191145 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some development of this system is possible while the system approaches the Windward Islands this weekend or when it moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An elongated area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located just south of the Dominican Republic. Although upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development, thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated since yesterday. Some slight development is still possible before the system begins to interact with the high terrain of Hispaniola. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti during the next day or two. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly northwestward through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for at least gradual development thereafter while the system moves westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-19 07:21:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 190521 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located a couple hundred miles north-northeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. A tropical wave located almost 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some development of this system is possible while the system approaches the Windward Islands this weekend or when it moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms near and to the southeast of the Dominican Republic is associated with a tropical wave. While upper-level winds are not forecast to be conducive for significant development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti during the next couple of days. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly northwestward through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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