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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 13:44:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located about 600 miles south- southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, and is close to becoming a tropical depression. Advisories on this system could be initiated later this morning or this afternoon while the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located about 250 miles south of Acapulco is becoming better defined and is close to becoming a tropical storm. Advisories will likely be initiated later this morning, and this system will continue to move west- northwestward near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico during the next few days. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system, and watches or warnings could be required later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 13:42:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 171142 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located more than 500 miles west of Bermuda. A small low pressure system is located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little better organized this morning, and conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico near the central Texas coast has changed little in organization. However, some slight development is still possible before the system moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast later tonight or early Wednesday. Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce areas of very heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding along the coastal regions of southwestern Louisiana and central and upper Texas tonight and Wednesday, and over eastern Texas and western Louisiana on Thursday. For additional information, see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 07:32:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 170532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located nearly 600 miles west of Bermuda. A small low pressure system located a little more than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system has changed little in organization since yesterday, but conditions are still expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has become a little more concentrated during the past several hours. Nearby observations indicate that although pressures are falling in the area, there are no signs of a surface circulation at this time. Some slight development is possible before the system moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast Tuesday night. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding along portions of the central and upper Texas coastal areas later this week. For additional information, see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 07:07:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170506 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms remain limited in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located about 650 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Any significant increase in the thunderstorm activity would lead to the formation of a tropical depression later today or tonight, while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the large area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is becoming better organized. If this development trend continues, then a tropical depression or tropical storm could form later today or tonight. This system will continue to move west-northwest near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico for the next few days. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 01:18:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 162318 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located less than 700 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. A small low pressure system located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some slow development of this system is possible before it moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast Tuesday night. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding along portions of the central and upper Texas coastal areas later this week. For additional information, see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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