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Tropical Storm Odalys Public Advisory Number 3
2020-11-04 09:52:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Wed Nov 04 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 040852 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Odalys Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202020 200 AM PDT Wed Nov 04 2020 ...ODALYS CHANGES LITTLE OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 118.5W ABOUT 755 MI...1215 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Odalys was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 118.5 West. Odalys is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A northwestward to west-northwestward motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next day or so. A turn to the west and then the southwest is forecast by late this week. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. Odalys should begin weakening by Thursday, and could become a remnant low by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Odalys Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-11-04 09:52:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED NOV 04 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 040852 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ODALYS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202020 0900 UTC WED NOV 04 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 118.5W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 118.5W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 118.0W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.6N 120.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.7N 121.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.4N 123.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.2N 125.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.6N 126.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.8N 127.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 15.3N 129.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 118.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Storm Odalys Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2020-11-04 09:52:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED NOV 04 2020 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 040852 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM ODALYS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202020 0900 UTC WED NOV 04 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODALYS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 120W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-11-04 06:34:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 040534 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Tue Nov 3 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Odalys, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odalys are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Odalys are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-11-04 06:32:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 040532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Eta, located inland over Nicaragua. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Latto
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