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Summary for Tropical Depression Rose (AT2/AL172021)
2021-09-22 10:32:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DISORGANIZED ROSE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC.... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 22 the center of Rose was located near 23.4, -38.4 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Rose Forecast Advisory Number 13
2021-09-22 10:32:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 220832 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 0900 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 38.4W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 38.4W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 38.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.2N 39.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N 40.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.0N 41.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.4N 40.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.5N 38.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.1N 36.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.2N 31.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 38.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-22 07:31:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
715 ABPZ20 KNHC 220531 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 21 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for development, and a short-lived tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the low moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into an environment of stable air and strong upper-level winds this weekend, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-22 07:30:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 220530 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Peter, located a couple of hundred miles north-northeast of Puerto Rico, and on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Rose, located about 1000 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. However, satellite wind data indicate that the system still lacks a well-defined center. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a day or two while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located about 500 miles west of the westernmost Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics over marginally warm waters during the next few days while it makes a counter-clockwise loop over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, by the weekend, this system is expected to move into an environment of strong upper-level winds. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Peter Graphics
2021-09-22 04:45:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 22 Sep 2021 02:45:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 22 Sep 2021 02:45:15 GMT
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