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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-13 19:42:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Karina, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Karina are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Karina are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Sally Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics
2020-09-13 17:52:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Sun, 13 Sep 2020 15:52:49 GMT
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sally
Tropical Depression Rene Graphics
2020-09-13 17:02:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 13 Sep 2020 15:02:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 13 Sep 2020 15:32:38 GMT
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rene
Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 26
2020-09-13 17:02:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 131502 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 Sporadic small areas of convection continue to fire off around the circulation of Rene, only to dissipate shortly thereafter. A recent ASCAT overpass showed an area of 20 to 25 kt winds in the eastern semicircle. Therefore, the initial intensity will remain 25 kt. The dry environment surrounding Rene will only get drier over the next couple of days. That, along with increasing subsidence over the cyclone should eventually cause Rene to become a remnant low. There is no change to the previous forecast intensity or timing of the system becoming a remnant low, which is consistent with the global models. Rene is beginning to slow down as a ridge starts to build to the north and northwest of the cyclone. This slowing trend should continue through tonight. Late Monday through Tuesday, a turn to the west then southwest should occur as whatever remains of the system becomes steered by the larger circulation of Tropical Depression Twenty to its southwest. There is little change to the previous track forecast, and the latest NHC forecast lies near the various multi-model track consensus guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/1500Z 26.8N 47.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 14/0000Z 27.5N 48.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 14/1200Z 27.6N 48.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 15/0000Z 27.3N 49.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 15/1200Z 26.7N 50.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 16/0000Z 26.1N 51.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Depression Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2020-09-13 17:02:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 131502 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 1500 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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