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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-14 07:57:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140557 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Sep 14 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Nicholas, located right along the middle Texas coast. A tropical wave located just west of the African coast is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the weekend while the system moves westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form by midweek a couple of hundred miles north of the southeastern or central Bahamas as a tropical wave interacts with an upper-level trough. Some gradual development of this system is forecast thereafter, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves north-northwestward or northward across the western Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-14 07:54:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140554 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated trough of low pressure is located along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have been slowly diminishing, and environmental conditions no longer appear conducive for additional development. Regardless, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin
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Tropical Storm Nicholas Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
2021-09-14 06:35:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Tue, 14 Sep 2021 04:35:54 GMT
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Tropical Storm Nicholas Graphics
2021-09-14 02:01:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Sep 2021 00:01:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 13 Sep 2021 21:22:45 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Nicholas (AT4/AL142021)
2021-09-14 01:58:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NICHOLAS BRINGING HEAVY RAINS, STRONG WINDS, AND STORM SURGES TO PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND UPPER TEXAS COASTS... As of 7:00 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 the center of Nicholas was located near 28.1, -96.2 with movement NNE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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