je.st
news
Tag: tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-30 07:37:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
570 ABNT20 KNHC 300537 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that continues to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 20 mph. Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely monitor this system as it will likely be moving through that region on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Significant development of this system is unlikely while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Lesser Antilles today and then across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea later this week. Regardless of development, this system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-30 07:23:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
626 ABPZ20 KNHC 300523 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Enrique, located just east of the southern Baja California Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Tropical Storm Enrique Graphics
2021-06-30 04:49:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 30 Jun 2021 02:49:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 30 Jun 2021 03:22:22 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
enrique
Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast Discussion Number 20
2021-06-30 04:48:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 300248 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 900 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 After spending nearly a day mostly devoid of deep, organized convection, Enrique was able to re-develop a small convective burst, beginning just after the previous advisory. While not particularly well-organized, the convective depth is fairly cold, between -65 to -70 C, and has been persistent enough near the low-level circulation center that it justifies maintaining advisories at this time. The initial intensity remains estimated at 35 kt in accordance with the earlier scatterometer data when Enrique still lacked convection, though this estimate could be generous given the lower subjective satellite estimates provided by SAB and TAFB. The cyclone continues to move to the northwest, but appears to have sped up a bit, with an estimated motion of 315/10 kt. This general heading should continue over the next 12 hours as the small storm continues to track further into the Gulf of California. Thereafter, the system is forecast to take a slight leftward bend, which could bring the tropical cyclone near the coast of Baja California by 24 hours. The most recent forecast track is very similar to the previous advisory, with the exception of a slight leftward shift after 24 hours, blending the reliable HCCA and TVCE consensus aids. Despite the recent small convective burst just east of Enrique's center, which was well anticipated by the ECMWF and HWRF, the cyclone is expected to spin down further, especially as its small circulation begins to interact with the higher terrain of Baja California. Enrique is expected to weaken into a tropical depression in the next 12 hours, with dissipation likely by 48 hours after moving over land. Key Messages: 1. The outer rainbands of Enrique may produce heavy rains across a portion of western Mexico and the southern Baja Peninsula during the next couple days. This rainfall over the mainland of Mexico will continue to pose a threat of flash flooding and mudslides. 2. Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico, and portions of the Gulf of California and the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0300Z 23.8N 109.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 30/1200Z 24.5N 109.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 01/0000Z 25.2N 110.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...NEAR THE COAST 36H 01/1200Z 25.5N 111.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Enrique (EP5/EP052021)
2021-06-30 04:41:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TINY ENRIQUE HANGING ON TO TROPICAL CYCLONE STATUS WHILE MOVING INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... As of 9:00 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 the center of Enrique was located near 23.8, -109.1 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
enrique
Sites : [731] [732] [733] [734] [735] [736] [737] [738] [739] [740] [741] [742] [743] [744] [745] [746] [747] [748] [749] [750] next »