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Summary for Tropical Storm ANDRES (EP1/EP012015)

2015-05-29 16:47:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ANDRES JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH... As of 9:00 AM MDT Fri May 29 the center of ANDRES was located near 12.5, -114.6 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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Tropical Storm ANDRES Public Advisory Number 6

2015-05-29 16:47:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 900 AM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 291446 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDRES ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 900 AM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015 ...ANDRES JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.5N 114.6W ABOUT 780 MI...1260 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Andres was located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 114.6 West. Andres is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northwestward motion is expected to begin later today and continue through Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Andres is expected to become a hurricane later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Storm ANDRES Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2015-05-29 16:47:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI MAY 29 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 291446 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 1500 UTC FRI MAY 29 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Storm ANDRES Forecast Advisory Number 6

2015-05-29 16:45:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI MAY 29 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 291445 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 1500 UTC FRI MAY 29 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 114.6W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 114.6W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 114.4W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.3N 115.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.3N 116.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.4N 117.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 16.2N 118.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.3N 121.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 18.2N 124.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 127.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 114.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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