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Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Forecast Advisory Number 69

2017-09-22 16:39:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 221439 TCMAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 69 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 69.4W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 240SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 69.4W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 69.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 39.4N 69.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 39.3N 69.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 38.9N 68.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 38.8N 68.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 38.5N 69.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 69.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Graphics

2017-09-22 13:56:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 22 Sep 2017 11:56:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 22 Sep 2017 09:24:35 GMT

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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose (AT2/AL122017)

2017-09-22 13:54:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...JOSE CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... As of 8:00 AM AST Fri Sep 22 the center of Jose was located near 39.7, -69.0 with movement W at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Public Advisory Number 68A

2017-09-22 13:54:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 AM AST Fri Sep 22 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 221154 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 68A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 800 AM AST Fri Sep 22 2017 ...JOSE CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.7N 69.0W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach, including Cape Cod * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose was located near latitude 39.7 North, longitude 69.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving slowly toward the west near 2 mph (4 km/h). Jose is expected to meander well off the coast of New England for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast for the next 48 hours. Jose is a large system. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km) from the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) with a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h) was recently reported at an unofficial site on Martha's Vineyard. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in the warning area this morning. SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda and much of the U.S. east coast and will likely cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions during the next couple of days. For more information, please consult products from your local weather office. Rainfall: Jose is expected to produce additional rainfall accumulations of up to one inch across Cape Cod and the offshore Islands of Martha's Vineyard and Nantucket through early Saturday. When including rain that has already fallen, storm total accumulations could reach 6 inches on Nantucket. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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