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Hurricane Franklin Forecast Advisory Number 14
2017-08-10 04:45:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 10 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 100245 TCMAT2 HURRICANE FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 0300 UTC THU AUG 10 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO DE VERACRUZ TO CABO ROJO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO RIO PANUCO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF PUERTO DE VERACRUZ TO PUERTO DOS BOCAS * THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO BARRA DEL TORDO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 96.1W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......130NE 90SE 60SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE 75SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 96.1W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 95.5W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.0N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.5N 102.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 96.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Hurricane Franklin Public Advisory Number 14
2017-08-10 04:45:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 100245 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Franklin Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017 ...HURRICANE FRANKLIN EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACCOMPANIED BY TORRENTIAL RAINS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 96.1W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM N OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Rojo to Rio Panuco A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico south of Puerto de Veracruz to Puerto Dos Bocas * The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Rojo to Barra del Tordo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Franklin was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 96.1 West. Franklin is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin is anticipated to cross the coast of the Mexican state of Veracruz in the next several hours. Data from an Air Force reconnaissance plane indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely before landfall, but the hurricane should weaken rapidly as it moves farther inland. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). La Vigueta, Veracruz recently reported a wind gust of 45 mph (72 km/h). The minimum central pressure recently estimated by an Air Force plane was 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible across the Mexican states of Tabasco, northern Veracruz, northern Puebla, Tlaxacala, Hidalgo, Queretar and eastern San Luis Potosi in eastern Mexico. These rains will be capable of producing life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area in the next few hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area along the southern shore of the Bay of Campeche through tonight and early Thursday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area in the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in eastern Mexico in the next several hours. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Hurricane Warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Hurricane Franklin Graphics
2017-08-10 01:52:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Aug 2017 23:52:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Aug 2017 21:25:58 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Franklin (AT2/AL072017)
2017-08-10 01:46:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...STRENGTHENING HURRICANE FRANKLIN HEADING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE SOON... As of 7:00 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 the center of Franklin was located near 20.2, -95.4 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 983 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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Hurricane Franklin Public Advisory Number 13A
2017-08-10 01:46:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 092346 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 700 PM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017 ...STRENGTHENING HURRICANE FRANKLIN HEADING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE SOON... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 95.4W ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Rojo to Rio Panuco A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico south of Puerto de Veracruz to Puerto Dos Bocas * The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Rojo to Barra del Tordo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Franklin was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 95.4 West. Franklin is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin is expected to cross the coast of the Mexican state of Veracruz later tonight or early Thursday. An Air Force plane is approaching the hurricane and preliminary reports indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected until the center crosses the coast. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall in Mexico. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force plane was 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible across the Mexican states of Tabasco, northern Veracruz, northern Puebla, Tlaxacala, Hidalgo, Queretar and eastern San Luis Potosi in eastern Mexico. These rains will be capable of producing life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area tonight. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area along the southern shore of the Bay of Campeche through tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in eastern Mexico by this evening. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Hurricane Warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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