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Tropical Storm Franklin Forecast Advisory Number 9

2017-08-08 22:32:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 08 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 082032 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 2100 UTC TUE AUG 08 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO DE VERACRUZ TO RIO PANUCO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO LAGARTOS TO SABANCUY * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO DE VERACRUZ TO RIO PANUCO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM SABANCUY TO PUERTO DE VERACRUZ A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 90.3W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 90.3W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 89.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.5N 91.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.6N 94.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.7N 96.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.4N 98.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 90.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Franklin Graphics

2017-08-08 19:44:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Aug 2017 17:44:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Aug 2017 15:25:34 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Franklin (AT2/AL072017)

2017-08-08 19:41:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...FRANKLIN BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... As of 1:00 PM CDT Tue Aug 8 the center of Franklin was located near 20.0, -89.9 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Franklin Public Advisory Number 8A

2017-08-08 19:41:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Aug 08 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 081741 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 100 PM CDT Tue Aug 08 2017 ...FRANKLIN BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 89.9W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM E OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Rio Panuco A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Rio Lagartos to Sabancuy * The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Rio Panuco A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Sabancuy to Puerto de Veracruz A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 89.9 West. Franklin is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A west-northwestward to westward motion is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin will move into the Bay of Campeche later today, move westward across the Bay of Campeche tonight and Wednesday, and be near the coast of mainland Mexico Wednesday night or early Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional weakening may occur until the center moves back over water, and strengthening is expected thereafter until landfall occurs in mainland Mexico. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Franklin is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through Wednesday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches are possible across northern portions of Belize and northern portions of Guatemala. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible across the Mexican states of Tabasco, northern Veracruz, northern Puebla, Tlaxacala, Hidalgo, Queretar and eastern San Louis Potosi in eastern Mexico. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely still occurring over portions of the northern and western Yucatan peninsula. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area by Wednesday evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in mainland Mexico by Wednesday evening. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area today and tonight. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Hurricane Watch area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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