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Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil Public Advisory Number 7
2019-08-05 04:32:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 04 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 050232 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082019 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 04 2019 ...GIL DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 127.3W ABOUT 1255 MI...2020 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 127.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a turn to the west-southwest is expected on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and the remnant low is expected to dissipate by Monday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2019-08-05 04:32:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 05 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 050232 PWSEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082019 0300 UTC MON AUG 05 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil Forecast Advisory Number 7
2019-08-05 04:30:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 05 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 050230 TCMEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082019 0300 UTC MON AUG 05 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 127.3W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 127.3W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 126.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.0N 128.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.6N 130.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 127.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Graphics
2019-07-25 16:33:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 25 Jul 2019 14:33:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 25 Jul 2019 15:24:24 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Forecast Discussion Number 14
2019-07-25 16:32:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Jul 25 2019 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 251432 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052019 800 AM PDT Thu Jul 25 2019 Dalila's circulation is becoming elongated, and the remaining thunderstorm activity is displaced well to the northeast. Earlier scatterometer data revealed that winds were 20 to 25 knots, and most likely these winds have decreased since then. On this basis, it is estimated that Dalila has degenerated into a remnant low with 20-kt winds. Now that the system is shallow, the remnant low will continue to move toward the west-northwest at about 6 to 8 kt, steered by the low-level trade winds. While some intermittent patches of convection are possible, the system is forecast to dissipate in a day or so over cooler waters. This is the last advisory on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/1500Z 21.9N 120.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 26/0000Z 22.3N 121.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 26/1200Z 22.7N 123.1W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/0000Z 23.0N 124.9W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila/Taylor
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