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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Graphics
2019-07-25 16:33:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 25 Jul 2019 14:33:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 25 Jul 2019 15:24:24 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Forecast Discussion Number 14
2019-07-25 16:32:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Jul 25 2019 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 251432 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052019 800 AM PDT Thu Jul 25 2019 Dalila's circulation is becoming elongated, and the remaining thunderstorm activity is displaced well to the northeast. Earlier scatterometer data revealed that winds were 20 to 25 knots, and most likely these winds have decreased since then. On this basis, it is estimated that Dalila has degenerated into a remnant low with 20-kt winds. Now that the system is shallow, the remnant low will continue to move toward the west-northwest at about 6 to 8 kt, steered by the low-level trade winds. While some intermittent patches of convection are possible, the system is forecast to dissipate in a day or so over cooler waters. This is the last advisory on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/1500Z 21.9N 120.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 26/0000Z 22.3N 121.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 26/1200Z 22.7N 123.1W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/0000Z 23.0N 124.9W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila/Taylor
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2019-07-25 16:32:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 25 2019 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 251431 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052019 1500 UTC THU JUL 25 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KTS...25 MPH...35 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila (EP5/EP052019)
2019-07-25 16:31:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DALILA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Jul 25 the center of Dalila was located near 21.9, -120.8 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 25 mph.
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Tropical Depression Dalila Graphics
2019-07-25 10:37:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 25 Jul 2019 08:37:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 25 Jul 2019 09:24:18 GMT
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