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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Graphics
2019-09-03 11:01:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 03 Sep 2019 09:01:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 03 Sep 2019 09:31:41 GMT
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Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven (AT2/AL072019)
2019-09-03 11:00:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL CYCLONE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TODAY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... As of 4:00 AM CDT Tue Sep 3 the center of Seven was located near 23.5, -94.3 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Public Advisory Number 1
2019-09-03 11:00:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 030900 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 400 AM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 ...TROPICAL CYCLONE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TODAY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 94.3W ABOUT 220 MI...360 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM ENE OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from La Pesca northward to Barra El Mezquital. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * La Pesca to Barra El Mezquital A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 94.3 West. The system is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A motion toward the west or west-northwest is forecast on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the disturbance is expected to become a tropical cyclone later today and become a tropical storm by tonight. Shower and thunderstorm activity has been steadily increasing in coverage and organization this morning, and the low is likely to become a tropical depression or a tropical storm later today or tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...100 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...100 percent The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by Wednesday evening, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 15 inches will be likely over portions of northeastern Mexico, especially in mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Graphics
2019-08-29 10:41:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 29 Aug 2019 08:41:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 29 Aug 2019 08:41:18 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Forecast Discussion Number 11
2019-08-29 10:40:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019 000 WTNT41 KNHC 290840 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062019 500 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2019 Satellite imagery and scatterometer data indicate that Erin is merging with a frontal system and is now an extratropical low. The low is expected to accelerate northeastward toward Nova Scotia over the next 24 h, and some slight intensification is expected during that time. After 24 h, the system is expected to be absorbed by a larger extratropical low over eastern Canada. This is the last advisory on Erin from the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/0900Z 36.1N 71.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 29/1800Z 39.3N 69.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 30/0600Z 44.3N 64.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 30/1800Z...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Beven
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