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Post-Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE Graphics
2013-08-30 05:07:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 30 Aug 2013 02:37:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 30 Aug 2013 03:04:43 GMT
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posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE Forecast Discussion Number 6
2013-08-30 04:37:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 300237 TCDEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102013 800 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013 ALL THAT REMAINS OF JULIETTE IS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL SWIRL WITH NO ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. BASED ON THE LACK OF ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY...JULIETTE IS DECLARED A REMNANT LOW AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KT...AND THIS COULD BE GENEROUS BASED ON A PARTIAL ASCAT PASS FROM EARLIER. THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER COLD WATERS WHILE IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...AND ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS LOSE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN 24-36H. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0300Z 26.7N 114.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 30/1200Z 27.6N 116.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 31/0000Z 28.5N 118.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE (EP5/EP102013)
2013-08-30 04:36:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JULIETTE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Thu Aug 29 the center of JULIETTE was located near 26.7, -114.8 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE Public Advisory Number 6
2013-08-30 04:36:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 300236 TCPEP5 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102013 800 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013 ...JULIETTE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.7N 114.8W ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM NW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSE OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TOMORROW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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cyclone
Post-Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2013-08-30 04:36:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 30 2013 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 300236 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102013 0300 UTC FRI AUG 30 2013 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 15 29 NA NA NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 79 55 NA NA NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 7 16 NA NA NA NA NA HURRICANE X X NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 20KT 20KT NA NA NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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