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Post-Tropical Cyclone ERICK Graphics
2013-07-09 16:32:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 09 Jul 2013 14:32:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 09 Jul 2013 14:31:44 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone ERICK Forecast Discussion Number 21
2013-07-09 16:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 091431 TCDEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 09 2013 ERICK HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS NOW...WHICH MEANS THE SYSTEM HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7-8 KT FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM OVER 20-21C SST WATER. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN THE REMNANT LOW OF ERICK DISSIPATING WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/1500Z 24.4N 113.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 10/0000Z 25.1N 114.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 10/1200Z 25.7N 115.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 11/0000Z 26.3N 117.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone ERICK (EP5/EP052013)
2013-07-09 16:31:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ERICK DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 9 the center of ERICK was located near 24.4, -113.2 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone ERICK Public Advisory Number 21
2013-07-09 16:31:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 091431 TCPEP5 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 09 2013 ...ERICK DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 113.2W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.2 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH... 17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ERICK IS A REMNANT LOW...AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Post-Tropical Cyclone ERICK Forecast Advisory Number 21
2013-07-09 16:30:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 091430 TCMEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 1500 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 113.2W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 113.2W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 112.8W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.1N 114.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.7N 115.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.3N 117.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 113.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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