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Post-Tropical Cyclone IVO Graphics

2013-08-25 22:33:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 25 Aug 2013 20:33:10 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 25 Aug 2013 20:32:42 GMT

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Post-Tropical Cyclone IVO Forecast Advisory Number 14

2013-08-25 22:31:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2013 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 252031 TCMEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092013 2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 115.2W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 115.2W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 115.1W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.4N 115.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.7N 116.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.6N 116.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 26.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 115.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Post-Tropical Cyclone ERIN Graphics

2013-08-18 23:08:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 18 Aug 2013 20:33:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 18 Aug 2013 21:04:44 GMT

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Post-Tropical Cyclone ERIN Forecast Discussion Number 16

2013-08-18 22:32:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST SUN AUG 18 2013 000 WTNT45 KNHC 182032 TCDAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013 500 PM AST SUN AUG 18 2013 ERIN HAS LACKED DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN 120 N MI OF ITS CENTER FOR OVER 12 HOURS...AND NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THEREFORE...ADVISORIES ARE BEING DISCONTINUED AT THIS TIME. THE SHIPS/LGEM GUIDANCE INDICATES VERY DRY LOW- TO MID-TROPOSPHERIC AIR IN THE PATH OF THE REMNANT LOW WHICH SHOULD DISCOURAGE ATTEMPTS AT REGENERATION. THE LOW HAS BEEN MOVING SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF WEST...OR 260/7...WITHIN THE TRADEWIND FLOW. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE CYCLONE LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN A FEW DAYS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND NEAR THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SUITE. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/2100Z 20.4N 39.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 19/0600Z 20.2N 41.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 19/1800Z 20.0N 43.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 20/0600Z 19.7N 45.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 20/1800Z 19.4N 47.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone ERIN (AT5/AL052013)

2013-08-18 22:32:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ERIN DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 5:00 PM AST Sun Aug 18 the center of ERIN was located near 20.4, -39.8 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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