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Remnants of Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
2021-08-30 10:51:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 300851 PWSEP4 REMNANTS OF NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2021 AT 0900Z THE REMNANTS OF NORA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS... 30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Remnants of Nora Forecast Advisory Number 19
2021-08-30 10:50:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 300850 TCMEP4 REMNANTS OF NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 108.1W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 108.1W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 108.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Remnants of Grace Graphics
2021-08-21 23:19:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 21 Aug 2021 21:19:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 21 Aug 2021 21:19:39 GMT
Remnants of Grace Graphics
2021-08-21 22:45:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 21 Aug 2021 20:45:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 21 Aug 2021 20:45:24 GMT
Remnants of Grace Forecast Discussion Number 34
2021-08-21 22:45:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021 000 WTNT42 KNHC 212045 TCDAT2 Remnants Of Grace Discussion Number 34 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072021 400 PM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021 The mountainous terrain of Mexico has taken its toll on Grace. Surface observations and high-resolution visible satellite images indicate that the system no longer has a definite surface circulation, and Grace has degenerated into a trough to the west of Mexico City. Therefore, this is the last advisory on this system. Although the surface center has dissipated, the mid-tropospheric remnants of Grace are expected to continue westward, and to emerge into the eastern Pacific Ocean by late Sunday. There is high likelihood that this will lead to the formation of a new tropical cyclone over that basin by early next week. For additional information on this possibility, see the eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook under AWIPS header MIATWOEP, WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov. Key Messages: 1. Through tonight, lingering heavy rainfall from the remnants of Grace may result in additional areas of flash and urban flooding, along with mudslides, over central Mexico. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 19.6N 100.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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