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Hurricane Irma Public Advisory Number 40

2017-09-09 04:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 090258 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 40 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017 ...IRMA MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CAMAGUEY ARCHIPELAGO OF CUBA AS A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.1N 77.7W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM ESE OF CAIBARIEN CUBA ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SSE OF MIAMI FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...924 MB...27.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning has been extended northward on the east coast of Florida to the Volusia/Brevard County Line and on the west coast of Florida to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay. The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward on the east coast of Florida to the Volusia/Brevard County Line and on the west coast of Florida to Anclote River. The Storm Surge Watch has been extended northward on the west coast of Florida to Suwanee River. The Hurricane Watch has been extended northward on the east coast of Florida to Fernandina Beach and on the west coast of Florida to Indian Pass. The government of Cuba has upgraded the Hurricane Watch for the province of Matanzas to a Hurricane Warning. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the provinces of La Habana and Ciudad de la Habana. The Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning for Guantanamo have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Volusia/Brevard County Line southward around the Florida peninsula to Anclote River * Florida Keys * Tampa Bay A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of the Volusia/Brevard County Line to the Flagler/Volusia County line * North of Anclote River to Suwannee River A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Volusia/Brevard County Line southward around the Florida peninsula to Anclote River * Florida Keys * Lake Okeechobee * Florida Bay * Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Clara, and Matanzas * Central Bahamas and Ragged Island * Northwestern Bahamas A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * North of the Volusia/Brevard County Line to Fernandina Beach * North and west of Anclote River to Indian Pass * Cuban provinces of Holguin and Las Tunas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Holguin, Las Tunas, La Habana, and Ciudad de la Habana A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in Cuba, Florida, and the southeastern United States should monitor the progress of Irma. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 77.7 West. Irma is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Irma will move near the north coast of Cuba through Saturday, near the Florida Keys Sunday morning, and then near the southwest coast of Florida Sunday afternoon. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 160 mph (260 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is once again a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as it approaches Florida. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 924 mb (27.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... SW Florida from Captiva to Cape Sable...8 to 12 ft Cape Sable to Boca Raton including the Florida Key...5 to 10 ft Venice to Captiva...5 to 8 ft Anclote River to Venice including Tampa Bay...3 to 5 ft Boca Raton to Flagler/Volusia County line...2 to 4 ft Anclote River to Suwannee River...3 to 6 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and large breaking waves will raise water levels ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS by the following amounts within the hurricane warning area near and to the north of the center of Irma. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Ragged Island in the Bahamas...15 to 20 ft Central and Northwestern Bahamas...3 to 6 ft Northern coast of Cuba in the warning area...5 to 10 ft WIND: Hurricane conditions are still occurring over portions of the central Bahamas, as well as Ragged Island. Hurricane conditions are expected to continue within the hurricane warning area along the north coast of Cuba through Saturday. Hurricane conditions are expected in the northwestern Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and in portions of southern and central Florida and the Florida Keys Saturday night and Sunday. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in central and north Florida by Sunday. RAINFALL: Irma is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Tuesday night: Southern Bahamas and northern Cuba...10 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches Southern Cuba...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches Jamaica...1 to 2 inches The Florida Keys, much of the Florida peninsula, and southeast Georgia...8 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches The Florida Panhandle...3 to 6 inches, isolated 8 inches Rest of Eastern Georgia, western South Carolina, and Western North Carolina...4 to 8 inches Western Georgia, eastern and northern Alabama, and southern Tennessee...2 to 5 inches In all areas this rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and, in some areas, mudslides. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible from Saturday midday into Sunday across central and south Florida. SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the northern coast of the Dominican Republic, and should start affecting portions of the southeast coast of the United States tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Summary for Hurricane Irma (AT1/AL112017)

2017-09-09 04:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...IRMA MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CAMAGUEY ARCHIPELAGO OF CUBA AS A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... As of 11:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 the center of Irma was located near 22.1, -77.7 with movement W at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 924 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 160 mph.

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Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory Number 40

2017-09-09 04:58:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 090258 TCMAT1 HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE AND ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY. THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE AND ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER. THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO SUWANEE RIVER. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO FERNANDINA BEACH AND ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO INDIAN PASS. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS TO A HURRICANE WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUANTANAMO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO ANCLOTE RIVER * FLORIDA KEYS * TAMPA BAY A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE * NORTH OF ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO ANCLOTE RIVER * FLORIDA KEYS * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLORIDA BAY * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS... VILLA CLARA... AND MATANZAS * CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND RAGGED ISLAND * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH * NORTH AND WEST OF ANCLOTE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS * CUBAN PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS... LA HABANA... AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA... FLORIDA... AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 77.7W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 924 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 77.7W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 77.2W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.6N 79.1W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 90SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.3N 80.6W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.5N 81.4W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 170SE 120SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.5N 81.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 140SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 31.6N 83.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 180SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 35.0N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 35.5N 87.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 77.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Summary for Hurricane Irma (AT1/AL112017)

2017-09-09 01:57:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...IRMA'S SOUTHWESTERN EYEWALL MOVING OVER THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA... As of 8:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 the center of Irma was located near 22.2, -77.2 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 924 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 155 mph.

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Hurricane Irma Public Advisory Number 39A

2017-09-09 01:57:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 082356 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 39A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017 ...IRMA'S SOUTHWESTERN EYEWALL MOVING OVER THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.2N 77.2W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM E OF CAIBARIEN CUBA ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...924 MB...27.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for the southeastern Bahamas, except for Ragged Island. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Venice * Florida Keys A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County line * North of Venice to Anclote River * Tampa Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Anna Maria Island * Florida Keys * Lake Okeechobee * Florida Bay * Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and Villa Clara * Central Bahamas and Ragged Island * Northwestern Bahamas A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * North of Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County Line * North of Anna Maria Island to the Suwannee River * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, Las Tunas and Matanzas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in Cuba, Florida, and the southeastern United States should monitor the progress of Irma. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 22.2 North, longitude 77.2 West. Irma is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should continue to move near the north coast of Cuba and the central Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and be near the Florida Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely to continue during the next day or two, but Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as it approaches Florida. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the minimum central pressure is 924 mb (27.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... SW Florida from Captiva to Cape Sable...8 to 12 ft Cape Sable to Boca Raton including the Florida Key...5 to 10 ft Venice to Captiva...5 to 8 ft Anclote River to Venice including Tampa Bay...3 to 5 ft Boca Raton to Flagler/Volusia County line...3 to 6 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and large breaking waves will raise water levels ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS by the following amounts within the hurricane warning area near and to the north of the center of Irma. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Ragged Island in the Bahamas...15 to 20 ft Central and Northwestern Bahamas...5 to 10 ft Northern coast of Cuba in the warning area...5 to 10 ft WIND: Hurricane conditions are still occurring over portions of the central Bahamas, as well as Ragged Island. Hurricane conditions are expected to continue within the hurricane warning area along the north coast of Cuba through Saturday. Hurricane conditions are expected in the northwestern Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and in portions of southern and central Florida and the Florida Keys Saturday night or early Sunday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area in central and north Florida by Sunday, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Saturday. RAINFALL: Irma is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Tuesday night: Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Turks and Caicos...additional 1 to 3 inches. Southern Bahamas and northern Cuba...10 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches. Southern Cuba...4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches. Jamaica...1 to 2 inches. The Florida Keys, much of the Florida peninsula, and southeast Georgia...8 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches. Western and Northern Florida peninsula from Tampa northward...4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches. Rest of Eastern Georgia, western South Carolina, and Western North Carolina...4 to 7 inches. Western Georgia, eastern and northern Alabama, and southern Tennessee...2 to 5 inches. In all areas this rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and, in some areas, mudslides. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes will be possible beginning Saturday morning across south Florida. SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the northern coast of the Dominican Republic, and should start affecting portions of the southeast coast of the United States tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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